First Look at NFL Super Bowl 59 Futures Odds: Will the Chiefs Three-peat in 2025?

By Chris Hughes   February 12, 2024 

First Look at NFL Super Bowl 59 Futures Odds: Will the Chiefs Three-peat in 2025?

In looking at the preseason Super Bowl futures odds for the just-completed 2023 NFL season, no one would’ve been surprised from the Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers matchup. And no one would’ve been surprised if you told them that the Chiefs would win Super Bowl 58. After all, KC was the defending champs and had been in the Super Bowl in three of the previous four years.

But after seeing the 2023 regular season play out, a Chiefs back-to-back run as world champions didn’t seem so automatic. Kansas City was coming off its statistically worst offensive team in the Patrick Mahomes era and worst regular-season record at 11-6. You could get the Chiefs for +800 when there were just eight teams remaining a few weeks ago.

No matter. As we saw with Tom Brady’s New England Patriots (and in 2020 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers), elite players can will their team to victory. We saw this to be true late in the fourth quarter and in overtime of Sunday’s Super Bowl, when Mahomes led his team to the game-tying and game-winning points.

But as is our tradition here at Sidelines, before we officially put another great season to bed, it’s time to look ahead. Here is our first look at the Super Bowl futures odds for next year’s 59th edition of the big game, taking place in New Orleans.

Super Bowl 59 Futures Odds

Before we get to our picks, here are the top contenders for the crown, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

San Francisco 49ers+550Lost in Super Bowl 58
Kansas City Chiefs+650Won Super Bowl 58
Baltimore Ravens+900Lost in AFC Championship
Buffalo Bills+1000Lost in AFC Divisional round
Detroit Lions+1200Lost in NFC Championship
Cincinnati Bengals+1300Missed playoffs (9-8)
Miami Dolphins+1700Lost in AFC Wild Card round
Philadelphia Eagles+2000Lost in NFC Wild Card round
Dallas Cowboys+2000Lost in NFC Wild Card round
Green Bay Packers+2000Lost in NFC Divisional round

To Three-Peat or Not to Three-Peat, That Is the Question

We just saw the Chiefs stumble their way through parts of the regular season then go into Buffalo and Baltimore and win on the road to reach the Super Bowl. In the big game, they were shaky in the first half, but that’s becoming a thing for KC. In all four of Mahomes’ Super Bowl appearances, the Chiefs have fallen behind by double digits. They came back to win three of those four times.

The oddsmakers have them at +650 — favorites over everyone else except the 49ers, who are gaining a reputation of not being able to close out the big one. Head coach Kyle Shanahan has been at the helm of two of those double-digit leads blown, along with another in an NFC Championship game and as offensive coordinator of the famous 28-3 comeback by the Patriots over Atlanta in Super Bowl 51.

If you take any other team, just remember what happened this year: The Chiefs were not the best team, but the combination of an elite QB, future Hall of Fame coach, and years of experience in huge games led to another title.

Who Has Good Value at This Early Stage?

Cincinnati (+1300): The Bengals nearly reached the playoffs despite losing Joe Burrow to a season-ending wrist injury in November. They were 9-8 in a deep AFC North that saw its other three teams make the playoffs. So not only will Burrow be returning, but the Bengals play a last-place schedule. That means games against New England, Carolina, and Tennessee when Baltimore will be playing Buffalo, Tampa Bay, and Houston.

Green Bay (+2000): The Packers ended up being one of the hottest teams to finish last season and had the 49ers on the ropes in the Divisional round of the playoffs. Aside from their NFC North teams, the Packers’ road schedule doesn’t have many pitfalls. Away tests at Philadelphia and the Los Angeles Rams figure to be the toughest battles. After dominating Detroit on Thanksgiving, expect Green Bay to contend for the division title with Jordan Love and a solid group of receivers all returning.

Los Angeles Rams (+3500): This number made us do a double take. The Rams ended up being one of the league’s best teams down the stretch, losing only at Baltimore in overtime over the season’s final eight weeks. Their first-round playoff loss in Detroit was by just one point. The Rams return with two new weapons in wide receiver Puka Nacua and running back Kyren Williams to join proven players Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, and Aaron Donald along with head coach Sean McVay. Sure, they’ll have to contend with the 49ers in their division, but these are great odds on a team that has proven it can win a Super Bowl.

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