NFL Divisional Round Preview: Packers vs. 49ers Odds and Best Bets

Jordan Love has followed in the footsteps of Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers by leading the Green Bay Packers to the playoffs, and again with a win over the Dallas Cowboys. Now, Love joins them in having dates with the San Francisco 49ers in the playoffs.

The first-year starter has a chance to do something the Rodgers never did, which was to beat the Niners in the postseason. Favre was 4-1 against San Francisco in playoff games, but Rodgers was 0-3 against his hometown team, including a 13-10 defeat in this round two years ago at Lambeau Field when Green Bay was the No. 1 seed.

Now, the Packers look to return the favor, entering Levi’s Stadium as the heavy underdog against the top-seeded 49ers out of the NFC.

The Packers were a 4.5 favorite in that game, which was clearly affected by the weather. There will be no such issues this Saturday night in Santa Clara, California, with the winner advancing to the NFC Championship game.

Will Brock Purdy lead the Niners there for the fourth time in five years, or will Love continue to tick off the milestones of his predecessors? We have a look at the best bets based on the Packers vs. 49ers odds in the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs.

As we discussed in our best bets column this week, you have to wonder if the oddsmakers watched the Packers dismantle the Cowboys last Sunday. Sure, it can sometimes be dangerous to take too much stock in just one performance. But this isn’t just one performance for the Pack.

In last year’s first round, the 2-seed 49ers were favored by 8.5 over Seattle. The final score of that game was 41-23 — a San Fran cover. Defenses reigned the following week. The Niners outlasted Dallas 19-12 in the divisional round with a cover on a 3.5-point spread.

It’s hard to believe that this Packers team is a greater underdog than those Seahawks were last year. The 49ers are great, but they finished out last season just as strong. The Packers come in with a great deal of confidence, having now won four must-win games in a row. San Francisco’s key starters, on the other hand, haven’t played a competitive down in 2024. We just can’t see Green Bay getting their doors blown off here. Feel comfortable playing this line down to a touchdown for even more value.

Best Bet: Packers teased to +7 (+170 at Hard Rock Bet)

Check out Sidelines’ Best Prop Bets for the Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs and our NEW Super Bowl Futures Picks.

The total for this game sits at 50.5 at most major U.S. sportsbooks. On the surface, Green Bay scoring a postseason franchise-record-tying 48 last week and the Niners averaging 29 points per game (second-most in the NFL) will do that.

But taking a closer look, we see this game going comfortably under that total. The Niners had the third-best defense against the run in the regular season, which could snap Aaron Jones’ streak of 100-yard rushing games at three. If the Pack offense becomes one-dimensional, it could keep their point total down.

The Packers defense has also been solid as of late. In the winning streak, they’ve shut down the Chiefs, Lions, Vikings, Bears, and Cowboys (don’t let the final score fool you — 16 of those 32 Dallas points came in garbage time). The Bears were putting up points Green Bay rated poorly against the run, so expect plenty of work for Christian McCaffrey. A ground attack could also eat up the clock.

Finally, taking a look at the 49ers’ games at home this year, you will find just two games that broke the 50-point mark: 51 vs. Arizona in Week 4 and 52 vs. Dallas in Week 5. It hasn’t happened since October, so let’s not think that it will now.

Best Bet: Packers-49ers UNDER 50.5 (-110 at Caesars)