NFL Week 14 Prop Bets: Jets Keep on Skidding, Evans Keeps on Rolling

So Amon-Ra St. Brown isn’t always open? Of course, when we advise to bet on him he fails to deliver. Same with Tyreek Hill, although it’s because he didn’t surpass his catches total rather than yards. At least betting against the Jets did work. Here are the three best player/team prop bets for Week 14 of the NFL season.

The New York Jets. It feels like we can always copy and paste this statement. New York is 4-8. Tank season time? Joe Alt, Olu Fashanu, and Marvin Harrison Jr. should all be on Gang Green’s radar at this point. The defense is still really good, but the Jets offense is actually horrific. New York has started three quarterbacks this season, and could be looking at its fourth next week. Goodbye Tim Boyle. Insert Brett Rypien. 

Yes, it’s gotten that bad. Our suggestion is to keep betting against the Jets. Gang Green’s over/under for this Sunday’s matchup against the Houston Texans is 12.5 with +102 odds to bet the under at FanDuel Sportsbook. Take it.
The Texans rank in the upper half of the league in points-allowed-per-game. But like last week, does it matter? New York has surpassed 12.5 points just once in the past five weeks. That’s only because the Jets had a pick-six in their game against the Dolphins on Black Friday. New York’s defense did have a safety against Atlanta and it still didn’t matter. Bet against the Jets, and if they get over 12.5 points then live with it.

Here is the list of receivers to begin a career with 10 straight 1,000-yard seasons: Mike Evans. That’s it. Yes, Evans had Tom Brady for three seasons. He’s also had Jameis Winston, Josh McCown, Mike Glennon, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ryan Griffin (who?), Blaine Gabbert, and now Baker Mayfield. But, it really doesn’t matter.

Evans’ over/under for receiving yards for Sunday’s game against the Atlanta Falcons is 67.5 with -137 odds in either direction at PrizePicks. We like the over on this one. Evans is as consistent as it gets.

The Falcons are 11th in the league in passing defense which is pretty solid. However, Tampa Bay and Atlanta did match up earlier this season. In that contest, Evans went for 82 yards. That’s pretty on brand for the pro bowl wide receiver. Evans typically has success against the Falcons. 

We believe this line is pretty fair. Evans can be a bit volatile. Some weeks, he’ll go for 150. Others, he’ll have three catches for 26 yards. This is similar to what we said above. Take Evans to go over his total yards and live with the consequences. He’s one of the best receivers in football, and he’s having another terrific season.

What’s going on with Patrick Mahomes? So far, the Kansas City Chiefs quarterback looks just a bit off. Yet, Mahomes has over 3,000 yards passing with 22 touchdowns to ten interceptions. He’s set such a high bar that even a “down” year is better than most in the NFL. 

This week the Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills. Even though Buffalo isn’t as good as most predicted at the beginning of the season, this contest figures to be exciting. Mahomes’ over/under for passing yards is 264.5 with -137 in either direction at Underdog Fantasy. We love the over on this one. Mahomes has historically done really well against Buffalo. The only time the two-time MVP has gone under this total against the Bills was in his first start against them. 

Buffalo is eighth in the NFL in passing-yards-allowed per-contest. The Bills have almost always had strong back-ends, but it doesn’t matter against Mahomes. He usually finds a way to carve them up regardless. 

Mahomes might not look like the typical world beater that he is, but don’t be fooled. He’s gone on cold streaks before, mainly in 2021 – the same year he torched the Bills in the Divisional Round. Bet now while you still can on Mahomes. We got a feeling his over/under will be higher going forward.

Check out Sidelines’ Best Bets for Week 14 of the NFL season.