The Miami Dolphins and Washington Football Team both scored perhaps the biggest outright upsets of the week. Both overcame 8.5-point spreads, with the Dolphins beating the Baltimore Ravens 22-10 and Washington topping the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29-19.
The Buffalo Bills covered the league’s widest spread of the week, 13.5 points, in their 45-17 win over the New York Jets. This marks the third time this season the Bills have covered a double digit spread.
NFL Bye Weeks continue in Week 11, but just two teams get the week off: the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams.
Some early season surprises have affected Futures bets, with some teams seeing their stocks rising. Here’s a look at each Week 11 game, with the NFL best odds, picks and predictions for each contest.
When: Thursday, November 18, 8:20 PM
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Patriots Best Odds | -263 (Wynn Bet) | -6.5/-110 (BetMGM) | Under 46.5/-109 (Sugar House) |
| Falcons Best Odds | +230 (PointsBet) | +6.5/-108 (PointsBet) | Over 47/-105 (DraftKings) |
The New England Patriots play the Atlanta Falcons in this non-conference matchup to start the NFL Week 11 slate of games. The Patriots come to this one having won four games in a row. New England’s making a move in the AFC playoff race, putting pressure on the Bills in the AFC East. The Falcons, meanwhile, absorbed a blowout loss in Dallas.
The New England Patriots (6-4, 6-4 ATS) took it to the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, scoring 45 points in a row after falling behind 7-0. New England’s one of the hottest teams in the league right now, having won four in a row and five of their last six after starting the season 1-3. The defense continues to lead the way for New England, while rookie quarterback Mac Jones continues his impressive first season.
Jones completed 19 of 23 passes for 198 yards and three touchdowns, two of which went to tight end Hunter Henry. Fellow rookie Rhamondre Stevenson rushed for a career-high 100 yards and scored two touchdowns. The Patriots offense converted seven of nine third down tries.
The Atlanta Falcons (4-5, 4-5 ATS) the 43-3 defeat at the hands of the Cowboys stands as the team’s worst loss in nearly 20 years. After getting inside the Dallas 20-yard line on their first possession, the Falcons wouldn’t get back into the red zone all game long. The Cowboys held the Falcons to season worsts in first downs (11) and third-down conversions (1 of 11). With 214 yards, Atlanta had just one more than its season low. Matt Ryan threw two interceptions and backup quarterback Josh Rosen threw one on his first pass attempt.
The Falcons’ defense did little to slow the Dallas attack. The Cowboys rolled up 431 yards of total offense, converting six of 14 third down attempts and all three fourth down tries. The 431 yards allowed were just three shy of the season-high.
New England has won and covered the last six meetings between these two clubs, but the Pats are just 2-8 straight up and against the spread in their last 10 primetime games. That said, the Patriots have scored the most points in the league over their last five games, posting 179, 19 more than the next team on the list. They’ve outscored opponents by 100 points on their current four-game winning streak.
The Patriots defense allows just 17.7 points per game, whereas Atlanta’s D gives up 29.2 points per game. New England’s seen the Over hit in five of their last six. The Falcons have seen the over hit in four of their last six. Atlanta’s seen the Under in 10 straight primetime appearances, with an average of 41.8 points scored in those games. They’ve also covered just two of their last seven primetime games and are 1-6 straight up in their last seven as a home underdog.
New England needs this game to keep pace with the Bills in the AFC East and among the other AFC playoff hopefuls. Atlanta’s only a half-game behind the Wild Card pace in the NFC though, making this seemingly a must-win for them as well.
New England 27, Atlanta 17
ML: NE -263 (Wynn Bet); Spread: NE -6.5/-110 (BetMGM); O/U: Under 46.5/-109 (Sugar House)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Colts Best Odds | +270 (Caesars) | +7/-110 (BetMGM) | Under 49.5/-110 (BetMGM) |
| Bills Best Odds | -312 (DraftKings) | -7.5/-105 (FanDuel) | Over 49.5/-105 (FoxBet) |
The Indianapolis Colts play the Buffalo Bills in this matchup of AFC Conference playoff hopefuls. Once rivals in the old AFC East, these two clubs find themselves jockeying for position among the other playoff hopes in the conference. Both teams enter coming off of a win, although Buffalo’s dismantling of the Jets was far more impressive than Indy’s win over the Jaguars.
The Indianapolis Colts (5-5, 6-4 ATS) put up 17 points in the first quarter of their Week 10 contest against Jacksonville, then held on to grab a 23-17 win over the Jaguars. Jonathan Taylor continued his breakout season, gaining 116 yards and scoring a touchdown. Indy is now 9-0 when Taylor runs for 100 yards. The Colts also scored a special teams touchdown after a blocked punt.
The Colts raced out to a 17-0 lead, but did just enough to beat Jacksonville, including a game-sealing fumble recovery in the final minute. Carson Wentz completed 22 of 34 passes for 180 yards, but he was held without a touchdown pass for the first time in seven games. Michael Pittman Jr. caught seven passes for 71 yards, but his streak of three straight games with a touchdown catch ended.
Indy’s season may come down to these next two weeks. The Colts face Buffalo and Tampa Bay as the AFC playoff picture gets crowded. Unfortunately for Indy, they haven’t beaten a team with a winning record yet this season.
The Buffalo Bills (6-3, 6-3 ATS) dismantled the New York Jets in their Week 10 matchup. The Bills couldn’t find the end zone against the Jacksonville Jaguars in their 9-6 loss in Week 9, but got to work quickly against the Jets. Buffalo scored a touchdown on their first drive and forced five turnovers in the game. They ultimately won 45-17, scoring 40 points for the third time this season.
Josh Allen completed 21 of 28 passes for 366 yards and two touchdowns with an interception. The Bills defense picked off three passes and forced a pair of fumbles along the way. Buffalo leads the league with a plus-14 turnover differential. Over their past five games, the Bills defense has allowed just 91 points, the fifth-fewest in the league over that span.
The last time these two teams played in Buffalo came last season during the AFC’s Wild Card round. The Colts covered the 7-point spread then, but Phillip Rivers was their quarterback and Buffalo won outright.
Indy’s covered in five of its last seven games, and enters this one 4-0 against the spread after failing to cover the week before. The total has gone Over in five of the Colts’ last seven games, and in six of their last seven road games.
The Bills, meanwhile, come to this one 4-1 both straight up and against the spread when favored by a touchdown or more. Each win by Buffalo this season has come by at least 15 points. The total has gone Under in four of the Bills’ last five games against Indianapolis.
Buffalo is 10-1 straight up in its last 11 games at home.
Despite leading the AFC East, the Bills need to win this game considering New England’s recent race up the standings.
Buffalo 31, Indianapolis 17
ML: BUF -312 (DraftKings); Spread: BUF -7.5/-105 (FanDuel); O/U: Under 49.5/-110 (BetMGM)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Washington Best Odds | +160 (PointsBet) | +3.5/-108 (PointsBet) | Under 42.5/-103 (Sugar House) |
| Panthers Best Odds | -164 (Wynn Bet) | -3.5/-108 (PointsBet) | Over 43.5/+100 (FoxBet) |
The Washington Football Team plays the Carolina Panthers in this matchup of conference rivals hoping for a late-season playoff push. Both teams enter coming off impressive victories. Washington hosted the defending Super Bowl champs last week, and saddled Brady and the Bucs with a 10-point loss. The Panthers, meanwhile, welcomed Cam Newton back to their huddle and promptly dismantled a shorthanded Arizona Cardinals team.
The Washington Football Team (3-6, 2-7 ATS) scored a major upset of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with their 29-19 win in Week 10. But that victory came at a cost, as the team lost defensive end Chase Young for the remainder of the year to a torn ACL.
Despite the bad news about Young, Washington came away with its most impressive win of the season. Last year, Washington started 2-7 but won five of their final seven games after the Bye to get into the playoffs. This year, they’ve come out of the Bye with a big win against the Bucs.
Washington’s defense nabbed a pair of early interceptions off Ton Brady, which helped them take control of the game. They held Tampa Bay out of the end zone in the first half, something that’s only happened to the Bucs five times over the last two seasons.
Antonio Gibson rushed for two touchdowns, while quarterback Taylor Heinicke went 26 of 32 for 256 passing yards and a touchdown. Heinicke isn’t a flashy quarterback, but he can get the job done in a surprisingly efficient manner at times; Washington went 11 of 19 on third downs against the Bucs and had 13 passing first downs.
The Carolina Panthers (5-5, 5-5 ATS) traveled to Arizona and took it to the shorthanded Cardinals. Sure, Arizona played without Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, JJ Watt and others, but the Panthers did what the 49ers couldn’t the week before, get the win. And wins have been hard to come by of late for Carolina. After a 3-0 start, the Panthers lost four straight and five of six before this victory.
Cam Newton’s returned injected a level of life into the offense not seen since the early weeks of the season. Newton didn’t start the game, but he played in spots and was responsible for two touchdowns. P.J. Walker played well in place of Sam Darnold, who’s likely out for the season with a shoulder injury.
The win evened Carolina’s record at 5-5 and kept them in the playoff hunt. The team is preparing to move forward with Newton at quarterback, who actually led the Panthers to touchdowns on his first two snaps last week. Carolina also got a boost from Christian McCaffery, who had 13 carries for 95 yards and 10 catches for 66 yards in his second game back from a hamstring injury.
Although expectations should be tempered when it comes to Newton, McCaffery seems like more the key to Carolina. The Panthers are 4-1 both straight up and against the spread when he plays this season. Carolina’s schedule lines up with three consecutive winnable games coming up, so the Panthers playoff hopes will hinge on their performance over that stretch.
Carolina is ranked second in the NFL in yards per play allowed this season, as they are one of two teams allowing under 5.0 yards per play on the year. The Football Team ranks 27th in the league in that category, allowing over a full yard per play more than the Panthers this season.
Washington’s seen the Under hit in four of its last five games. The Panthers enter 5-2 against the spread in the last seven matchups between these two teams. Carolina’s 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games overall. They’ve seen the Under hit in 10 of their last 13.
Carolina 23, Washington 20
ML: CAR -164 (Wynn Bet); Spread: WAS +3.5/-108 (PointsBet); O/U: Over 42.5/-116 (Sugar House)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Ravens Best Odds | -250 (DraftKings) | -6.5/+100 (PointsBet) | Under 45.5/-108 (FanDuel) |
| Bears Best Odds | +230 (Caesars) | +6.5/-110 (BetMGM) | Over 45.5/-108 (Sugar House) |
The Baltimore Ravens play the Chicago Bears in this matchup of electrifying quarterbacks from the legendary Soldier Field. Both teams come this contest off disappointing defeats with a little extra time to stew over those losses. The Ravens fell flat in Miami last week, falling on Thursday Night football. The Bears, meanwhile, have had a week to ruminate on their Week 9 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Baltimore Ravens (6-3, 3-6 ATS) dropped a disappointing game last Thursday Night in Miami, losing to the Dolphins 22-10. Per ESPN, Baltimore’s streak of 51 regular-season games with at least 14 points—the second-longest such streak in NFL history behind a 63-game run by New England from 2009 through 2013—came to an end.
Lamar Jackson completed 26 of 43 passes for 238 yards, a touchdown and a late interception, but the Ravens offense struggled with Miami’s pressure. The Dolphins blitzed Jackson throughout the games, and Baltimore converted just two of 14 third down attempts. Sammy Watkins lost a fumble early in the fourth quarter that Miami’s Xavien Howard returned for a touchdown.
The defense played well enough, limiting the Dolphins to just 60 rushing yards on 22 carries. The Ravens held Miami to just 3-of-13 on third down, and allowed the Dolphins to score a touchdown on just one of four red zone trips.
The Chicago Bears (3-6, 4-5 ATS) offense came to life in the fourth quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers during their Week 9 matchup. The Bears put up 21 in the final frame and erased a 10-point deficit along the way. But thanks in part to some questionable calls, Chicago’s defense couldn’t hold the one-point lead late and the Steelers ultimately won 29-27. The Bears were flagged 12 times in the game, including a call that erased a touchdown pass.
Justin Fields finished the game 17 of 29 for 291 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Fields led an impressive 7=play, 75-yard drive late in the game to take a one-point lead. He also gained 45 yards on eight carries. David Montgomery returned to action and gained 63 yards on 13 carries.
The Bears defense held Pittsburgh to 280 total yards and 6-of-17 on third down, but couldn’t keep the Steelers from getting into field goal range late in the game.
Baltimore’s loss to the Dolphins left the door the AFC North wide open. The Ravens can’t afford to lose back-to-back games, especially one to a team that’s lost four in a row. Baltimore ranks eighth in yards per play this season (5.9), a full yard more than the Bears (4.7). Chicago’s defense has allowed at least 29 points in each of their last three games, and have lost by at least 10 points in three of their last four.
The Ravens come to this one 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, but Baltimore’s 6-3 against the spread in its last nine games versus the Bears. The Total has gone Under in six of the Ravens’ last seven road games, and Under in six of Chicago’s last eight overall. The Bears have seen the Under hit in 12 of their last 17 home games.
Baltimore 27, Chicago 17
ML: BAL -250 (DraftKings); Spread: BAL -6.5/+100 (PointsBet); O/U: Under 45.5/-108 (FanDuel)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Lions Best Odds | +380 (Wynn Bet) | +9.5/-102 (Sugar House) | Under 45/-108 (Sugar House) |
| Browns Best Odds | -417 (DraftKings) | -10/-108 (PointsBet) | Over 44.5/-110 (BetMGM) |
The Detroit Lions play the Cleveland Browns in this non-conference matchup of old school NFL franchises. Both teams come to this one after disappointing endings to their Week 10 games. The Lions at least left Pittsburgh without absorbing another loss. Detroit and the Steelers finished their overtime tilt even at 16, marking the league’s first tie of the season. The Browns, meanwhile, went to Boston and got boat-raced by the New England Patriots.
The Detroit Lions (0-8-1, 5-4 ATS) streak of 12 straight losses dating back to last season is falling over after their Week 10 tie with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The 16-16 final score means their winless streak remains intact though.
Jared Goff connected on 14 of 25 passes for just 114 yards while playing with a strained oblique. De’Andre Swift rushed for a career-high 130 yards as Detroit relied heavily on the run with Goff’s injury limitations. The Lions ultimately ran up 229 yards on the ground.
Detroit had a chance to win in overtime following a fumble recovery, but the Lions saw kicker Ryan Santoso’s potential game-winning 48-yard kick fall short. The Lions’ regular kicker, Austin Seibert, was sidelined due to a hip injury, and Detroit head coach Dan Campbell said the team will be looking at new kickers this week.
The Cleveland Browns (5-5, 5-5 ATS) went to New England down their top two running backs, but seemed to have a solid game plan after taking an early 7-0 lead. But following a Baker Mayfield interception in their second drive, the wheels came off for Cleveland. The Patriots scored 45 unanswered points in the game, one in which Mayfield went 11 for 21 for 73 yards, with a touchdown and an interception, and left after a second-half knee injury.
Without Nick Chubb in the lineup, the Browns offense finished with just 217 total yards. Cleveland converted only one of 11 third down attempts. The Browns defense did little to stop New England, allowing the Patriots to score on each of their four first half possessions. The Patriots gained 7.3 yards per play on Sunday and tallied 452 total yards in the game.
Despite the disappointing loss, the Browns remain in the hunt for the AFC North crown. They’ll need a better effort all around, and shouldn’t take the Lions lightly, considering Detroit has covered each of its last three road games. Cleveland has not strung together consecutive wins or point spread covers since Week 4, thanks largely to an offense that has been held to 17 points or less in four of its last five and five of seven.
This game feels like a shoo-in for the Under, considering the struggles both of these offensives have had of late. Over their last five games, the Lions have scored 69 total points, the second-lowest figure in the league. Cleveland’s 89 points over the span is seventh-fewest.
Baker Mayfield is listed as probable on the Browns’ injury report, and the team expects to have Nick Chubb back from the COVID-19 list.
Cleveland 24, Detroit 17
ML: CLE -417 (DraftKings); Spread: DET +9.5/-102 (Sugar House); O/U: Under 45/-108 (Sugar House)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| 49ers Best Odds | -256 (Wynn Bet) | -7/-105 (FanDuel) | Under 46/-106 (Twin Spires) |
| Jaguars Best Odds | +240 (Caesars) | +6.5/-108 (PointsBet) | Over 46.5/-106 (Sugar House) |
The San Francisco 49ers play the Jacksonville Jaguars in this non-conference matchup in Northeast Florida. The Niners scored their first home win in over a year with their upset victory over the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football. The Jaguars, meanwhile, fell behind early in their Week 10 matchup against the Indianapolis Colts and couldn’t make up the difference.
The San Francisco 49ers (4-5, 3-6 ATS) finally broke through in Santa Clara, their 31-10 win getting the proverbial monkey off the team’s back at home. The Niners had lost five of six, including one to a shorthanded Arizona Cardinals team, but managed to put together their most complete performance of the season in the Week 10 win over the Rams.
San Francisco jumped on the Rams early, with Jimmy Garoppolo leading the Niners to a score on their opening drive and Jimmie Ward getting a pick-six in the first quarter. Garoppolo finished 15 for 19 for 182 yards and two touchdown passes. A week after San Francisco managed just 39 yards on the ground, the Niners ran the ball 44 times for 156 yards. Deebo Samuel continued his breakout season with 10 touches, 133 total yards, and two touchdowns.
The Niners defense held the high-octane LA attack in check throughout the night. They picked off Matthew Stafford twice and allowed just 278 yards of total offense, which was a season-low for the Rams. The Niners limited LA to just 3-of-10 on third down, and 0-for-2 on fourth down tries.
The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7, 4-5 ATS) fell behind 17-0 in their Week 10 contest in Indianapolis, but came roaring back in that ballgame. The Jaguars narrowed the deficit to three points in the fourth quarter, and had an opportunity to win the game late in the fourth before a Trevor Lawrence fumble.
Lawrence struggled in this one, especially early on. Lawrence was 3 of 14 with 56 yards in the first half and finished 16 of 35 with 162 yards. He now has 13 turnovers this season. Jacksonville’s kicking issues continued in this one, as kicker Matthew Wright missed both a field goal and a point-after attempt.
Jamal Agnew scored on a 66-yard run, now giving him a rushing touchdown, a kick return TD, and a missed field goal return TD. He’s also caught a touchdown pass. James Robinson returned in Week 10 and gained 57 yards on 12 carries.
The game could be a tale of two passing attacks. The 49ers average 8.2 yards per pass attempt, fourth in the NFL, whereas the Jaguars give up 8.0 per pass, 26th in the league. Jacksonville averages 6.1 yards per pass attempt, 32nd in the NFL. San Francisco’s defense gives up 7.0 yards per passing play, eighth in the league. The Jaguars convert only 30.3 percent of their third-down plays, 32nd in the league.
The Niners have been favored by more than a touchdown only once so far this season, failing to cover a 9.5-point spread in Week 1 at Detroit. San Francisco and its opponents have combined to score more than 46 points in seven of 10 games this season, but the Jaguars and their opponents have combined for more than 46 points only three times this season.
The Jaguars have posted a 3-1 record against the spread when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season.
San Francisco needs this win to rejoin the NFC playoff race.
San Francisco 24, Jacksonville 20
ML: SF -256 (Wynn Bet); Spread: JAX +6.5/-108 (PointsBet); O/U: Under 46/-106 (Twin Spires)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Packers Best Odds | -133 (BetMGM) | -2.5/-108 (PointsBet) | Under 49/-109 (Sugar House) |
| Vikings Best Odds | +122 (FanDuel) | +2.5/-105 (BetMGM) | Over 49.5/-105 (FoxBet) |
The Green Bay Packers play the Minnesota Vikings in this showdown of NFC North division rivals. Both teams come to this contest off impressive wins in Week 10. The Packers welcomed Aaron Rodgers back to the lineup and shutout in the Seattle Seahawks in a bounce back effort. Meanwhile, the Vikings finally won a close one, defeating the Los Angeles Chargers on the road.
The Green Bay Packers (8-2, 9-1 ATS) scored an impressive 17-0 win over the Seattle Seahawks in Week 10. Aaron Rodgers returned to the lineup after missing Week 9 thanks to COVID-19, but the team lost running back Aaron Jones to a knee injury. Jones will miss this game on Sunday.
The defense has rounded into form of late, shutting down Kyler Murray, Patrick Mahomes, and Russell Wilson in consecutive weeks. After surrendering a season-high 430 yards to Washington in Week 7, the Green Bay defense has locked in, allowing just 259.7 yards per game over their last three. Over the last five weeks, the Packers have allowed the league’s fewest points (58), going 4-1 over that stretch, with the only loss coming without Rodgers at quarterback for the offense.
The Minnesota Vikings (4-5, 5-4 ATS) bounced back from two straight close loses to secure a close win of their own in Los Angeles. Minnesota beat the Chargers 27-20 on the road despite missing five defensive starters in this one.
Kirk Cousins completed 25 of 37 passes for 294 yards and two touchdowns. Cousins found Justin Jefferson nine times for 143 yards after just five catches combined over the last two weeks. Dalvin Cook gained 94 yards and scored a touchdown on 24 carries.
The Vikings defense held Justin Herbert to under 200 yards and nabbed an interception. They kept the Chargers offense in check, limiting them to 253 total yards and five of 12 on third down. Minnesota enters this game against the Packers leading the league in sacks (29), and they’re facing a Packers team that ranks 16th in sacks allowed (20).
Green Bay ranks 19th in rushing yards per game (109.3), but will be without Jones. The Vikings give up 130.6 rushing yards per game (28th). The flips side of that sees a very good Minnesota ground game averaging 4.4 yards per rushing attempt (11th in the NFL), up against a Packers’ D giving up 4.6 per carry (26th in the league).
The Packers have covered nine consecutive games, whereas Minnesota’s 5-11 against the spread in their last 16. Green Bay’s seen the Under hit in each of their last seven games. The Vikings have seen the Under in five of their last seven. The Total has gone Under in nine of the last 13 games between these two clubs.
The Packers have an ATS record of 5-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, but Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-0 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year.
Green Bay 24, Minnesota 21
ML: GB -133 (BetMGM); Spread: GB -2.5/-108 (PointsBet); O/U: Under 49/-109 (Sugar House)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Dolphins Best Odds | -154 (FoxBet) | -3.5/+110 (FoxBet) | Under 44.5/-105 (FoxBet) |
| Jets Best Odds | +145 (PointsBet) | +3/+107 (PointsBet) | Over 45.5/-110 (BetMGM) |
The Miami Dolphins play the New York Jets in this matchup of AFC East rivals. These teams come to their Week 11 game coming off very different outings. The Dolphins shocked the NFL by dismantling the Baltimore Ravens offense in their Week 10 victory. Meanwhile, the Jets took a beating at the hands of the Buffalo Bills.
The Miami Dolphins (3-7, 4-6 ATS) topped the Baltimore Ravens 22-10 last Thursday night. Miami’s now won three games in a row and this recent success, including Thursday’s win, comes thanks to a defensive resurgence. The Dolphins defense held Baltimore to just 10 points, snapping the Ravens’ streak of 51 games with at least 14 points.
The Dolphins forced two turnovers, including an early fourth quarter fumble that Xavien Howard returned for a touchdown. Miami limited the Ravens to just 2-of-14 on third down. With the two turnovers, the Dolphins now rank fifth in takeaways, and lead the NFL in passes defensed (54) and quarterback hits (66).
Tua Tagovailoa entered the game in relief of an injured Jacoby Brissett and helped the Dolphins secure the victory. Tagovailoa completed 8 of 13 passes for 158 yards and rushed for a fourth quarter touchdown. Dolphins head coach Brian Flores said Tagovailoa will start Sunday’s game against the Jets despite a lingering finger injury.
The New York Jets (2-7, 2-7 ATS) took another tough loss on Sunday, falling to the Buffalo Bills 45-17 in a game that wasn’t as close as the score indicated. Mike White had the worst game of his young career, throwing four interceptions in the rout before exiting with an injury late. White completed 24 of 44 passes for 251 yards and the four INTs. He was replaced by Joe Flacco and it’s unclear who the Jets will start at quarterback in this game.
New York’s defense allowed 45 points for the second straight week. The Jets have now allowed a whopping 202 points over their last five games. They’ve allowed at least 31 points in four of those contests.
These two teams both rank near the bottom in scoring, with neither averaging 18 points per game. Although Miami’s full season figure isn’t impressive, the Dolphins D allowed the league’s eighth-fewest points over the last five games (98), with 15 forced turnovers for the year (seventh-most). The Jets enter with the most turnovers this season (22).
Miami’s passing offense can have success against the Jets’ secondary, which allows the most passing yards per game (299.3). But the Dolphins offensive line has surrendered 27 sacks this season, seventh-most. New York’s D has 20 sacks (16th-most).
The Dolphins have won their only game this season when playing as at least 3-point favorite. The total has gone Under in four of Miami’s last five games. The Dolphins are 6-1 straight up in their last seven against the New York Jets.
The total has gone Over in each of New York’s last 6 games. In the last six games between these two clubs, the total has gone Under five times.
Miami 26, New York Jets 17
ML: MIA -154 (FoxBet); Spread: MIA -3.5/+110 (FoxBet); O/U: Under 44.5/-105 (FoxBet)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Saints Best Odds | +108 (FanDuel) | +1.5/-105 (FanDuel) | Under 43.5/-105 (FoxBet) |
| Eagles Best Odds | -118 (BetMGM) | -2/-105 (FoxBet) | Over 43.5/-105 (FanDuel) |
The New Orleans Saints play the Philadelphia Eagles in this conference matchup of playoff hopefuls. The Saints suffered through a Week 10 loss that saw them without five different starters against the Tennessee Titans. The Eagles, meanwhile, traveled to Denver and took home an impressive win against the Broncos. This game is shaping up as a must-win for both teams if they want to make a run at the NFC playoffs.
The New Orleans Saints (5-4, 5-4 ATS) comeback fell short on Sunday, as the team lost 23-21 in Tennessee against the Titans. This is the second straight loss for the Saints following Jameis Winston’s season-ending knee injury. The offense played without their starting quarterback and Alvin Kamara, their starting running back, as well as Michael Thomas, their star wide receiver.
Despite the missing offensive pieces, the Saints outgained Tennessee 373-264, and had a chance to tie the game late. It didn’t help New Orleans that kicker Brian Johnson missed a pair of extra points earlier in the game.
Trevor Siemian took the vast majority of snaps at quarterback, completing 19 of 34 passes for 298 yards and two touchdowns. Mark Ingram gained 47 yards and scored a touchdown in this one, making him the franchise’s all-time leading rusher. New Orleans’ defense limited the Titans to 264 total yards.
The Philadelphia Eagles (4-6, 5-5 ATS) traveled to Denver and took home an impressive 30-13 over the Broncos. The Eagles held a 20-10 lead at the half then took full control on an 83-yard fumble return touchdown in the third quarter.
Jalen Hurts played well, completing 17 of 23 passes with two touchdowns and one interception. He connected with rookie DeVonta Smith on those two touchdown passes, and gained 53 yards on 14 rushes. The Eagles ran up 214 yards on the ground as a team, marking the third game in a row Philly gained over 175 yards. They’ve won two of those three contests.
Philly’s defense limited the Broncos to 308 total yards and forced the game-changing fumble. Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert left the game with a concussion after an unflagged helmet-to-helmet hit early.
This game is shaping up as a strength versus strength battle. The Eagles enter averaging 144.3 rushing yards per game, third-most in the league. The Saints, meanwhile, allow just 72.9 rushing yards per game on defense, the best average in the league. Philly gets 5.0 yards per rush (4th), while the Saints allow just 3.1 yards per rush (1st).
The Eagles have covered the spread when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season. So far this season, five out of Philadelphia’s 10 games have gone over the point total. The Eagles have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
The Saints have covered 15 of their last 20 games as the road team, including each of their last four. Philly’s a dismal 4-13-1 against the spread in its last 18 games as home chalk. The Eagles are 0-4 straight up and 1-3 against the spread at home this season.
New Orleans 24, Philadelphia 21
ML: NO +108 (FanDuel); Spread: NO +1.5/-105 (FanDuel); O/U: Over 43.5/-105 (FanDuel)
When: Sunday, November 21, 1:00 PM
Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Texans Best Odds | +400 (BetMGM) | +10/-105 (DraftKings) | Under 44.5/-109 (Sugar House) |
| Titans Best Odds | -476 (DraftKings) | -10.5/-105 (Sugar House) | Over 45/-105 (FoxBet) |
The Houston Texans play the Tennessee Titans in this matchup of AFC South division rivals. The Texans enter this one off their Bye Week after a disappointing showing in their Week 9 matchup in Miami. Houston welcomed Tyrod Taylor back to the huddle in that one but still lost. The Titan, meanwhile, vaulted to the top of the conference standings with yet another win.
The Houston Texans (1-8, 4-5 ATS) took part in the NFL’s most turnover-filled game in more than five seasons. Houston coughed the ball up four times and managed five takeaways from the Dolphins. Despite winning the turnover margin, the Texans lost 17-9 in Miami despite getting their starting quarterback. Taylor missed six games but failed to make a difference for Houston’s offense.
Houston’s lost eight games in a row following their Week 1 win. Against Miami, the Texans managed just 272 of total offense, and converted only six of 17 third down tries. They made it to the red zone four times, but did not manage a single touchdown.
The Tennessee Titans (8-2, 7-3 ATS) picked up another win last week, this time hanging on to defeat the New Orleans Saints 23-21. Tennessee’s made it through the first half of the year with the top record in the AFC despite arguably the most difficult schedule. The Titans see an easier stretch of games as the year winds down, but they’ll need to sort out what their offense looks like without Derrick Henry.
The Titans extended their winning streak to an NFL-best six in a row. Although the Saints outgained Tennessee 373-264, the Titans managed to secure the victory. They got a little luck along the way thanks to a questionable roughing-the-passer penalty that negated an end zone interception by Ryan Tannehill.
Tannehill completed 19 of 27 passes for 213 yards and a touchdown. The new-look Titans backfield managed just 66 yards on 29 carries. D’Onta Freeman led the team with 30 yards on 11 carries. Adrian Peterson ran eight times for 21 yards. Tannehill scored Tennessee’s lone rushing touchdown.
Despite missing Henry, Tennessee still has the seventh-ranked rushing offense in the NFL (131.6 yards per game). They’ll look to exploit the 31st-ranked defense in that category, as the Texans’ defense allows 136.9 per game on the ground. The Titans’ fifth-ranked scoring offense averages 27.8 points per game. Houston has the 29th-ranked scoring defense (28.7 points per game).
Tennessee 38, Houston 17
ML: TEN -476 (DraftKings); Spread: TEN -10.5/-105 (Sugar House); O/U: Over 45/-105 (FoxBet)
When: Sunday, November 21, 4:05 PM
Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Bengals Best Odds | -111 (BetMGM) | -1/-105 (BetMGM) | Under 49/-105 (PointsBet) |
| Raiders Best Odds | +100 (FoxBet) | +1/-110 (Caesars) | Over 49/-105 (BetMGM) |
The Cincinnati Bengals play the Las Vegas Raiders in this matchup of AFC playoff hopefuls. Both teams enter coming off disappointing losses, but the Bengals have had a week off to stew on theirs. Cincinnati squandered an opportunity to secure their playoff position with their recent two-game losing skid. The Raiders, meanwhile, sport two straight losses of their own heading into this one.
The Cincinnati Bengals (5-4, 4-5 ATS) went into their Bye Week following a pair of frustrating losses. Meanwhile, the Bengals are coming off their Bye after getting blown out by the Cleveland Browns 41-16 as 2-point home favorites and falling to the New York Jets 34-31 as 11.5-point road chalk. These losses dropped Cincinnati down the AFC standings.
The Bengals defense has regressed over their last two games, allowing 75 points to the Jets and Browns combined. Neither of those offenses are considered high-octane, but the Raiders are.
The Las Vegas Raiders (5-4, 4-5 ATS) 41-14 defeat at the hands of the Kansas City Chiefs last Sunday night continued a worrying trend for the franchise. In 2019, a 6-4 start ended with a 7-9 finish. Last year, Las Vegas started 6-3 and finished 8-8. This year, Las Vegas started 5-2 and have since dropped two in a row.
The offense has struggled during this losing skid, turning the ball over five times over the past two weeks—which matches their total through the seven games prior. The Raiders were held to 82 yards in the first half, their fewest in a home game in eight years, and went 1 for 9 on third downs to fall down double digits in the first half for the fifth time this season. Couple these struggles with an inability for the defense to slow Patrick Mahomes, and the Raiders were routed.
This game stands a pivotal one in the AFC playoff picture. The Bengals are seventh in the NFL in red zone offense (66.7 percent), and will be facing the 31st-ranked red zone defense, owned by the Raiders (75.0 percent). The Raiders have one of the league’s best passing offenses, a second-ranked unit that picks up 314.0 yards per game. They will be facing the No. 25 defense in that category, owned by the Bengals (275.8).
The Raiders have lost four of six straight up and against the spread since a 3-0 start. The Bengals have covered the spread once in four tries when favored by 1-point or more this season, but are 2-2 when favored on the moneyline. Five Raiders games this season have gone Over the total of 49.
Las Vegas 24, Cincinnati 23
ML: LV +100 (FoxBet); Spread: LV +1/-110 (Caesars); O/U: Under 49/-105 (PointsBet)
When: Sunday, November 21, 4:25 PM
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Cowboys Best Odds | +135 (DraftKings) | +2.5/+100 (PointsBet) | Under 55/-105 (FoxBet) |
| Chiefs Best Odds | -133 (FanDuel) | -3/+100 (FoxBet) | Over 55.5/-105 (DraftKings) |
The Dallas Cowboys play the Kansas City Chiefs in one of the marquee matchups of the NFL Week 11 slate of games. These two clubs come to this contest off impressive victories. The Cowboys rebounded from a terrible Week 9 loss at home by destroying Atlanta in Week 10. The Chiefs, meanwhile, got a signature performance from Patrick Mahomes in their win over the Raiders on Sunday Night Football.
The Dallas Cowboys (7-2, 8-1 ATS) bounced back from their most disappointing effort of the season with a 43-3 dismantling of the Atlanta Falcons. The victory stands as Dallas’ first 40-point win since 2000. The Cowboys head scratching loss to Denver in Week 9 came amid an impressive run for the Dallas offense. Over their last five games, the Cowboys have scored 158 points, third-most in the league.
The Cowboys offense quickly got over their struggles from the previous week, getting a touchdown on their opening drive, then scoring a franchise-record 29 second quarter points. Dallas led 36-3 at the half, their biggest halftime lead in in 50 yards according to ESPN.
Dallas defensive coordinator Dan Quinn scored a measure of revenge against his former club. The Cowboys defense held Atlanta to a season-low 11 first downs, 1-of-11 of third down conversions, just 214 total yards.
The Kansas City Chiefs (6-4, 3-7 ATS) finally found the offensive rhythm that’s been missing for most of the season. Patrick Mahomes put in his best effort of the year, throwing for over 400 yards and connecting on five touchdown passes in the 41-14 rout of the Las Vegas Raiders. This win, coupled with losses by Denver and the Los Angeles Chargers, vaulted the Chiefs from last place to first place in the AFC West division.
Kansas City didn’t focus on running the ball, but they did the next best thing: throw short to the running backs. Of the Chief’s 422 passing yards, 254 came after the catch, which was the second most by any NFL team in a game this season. Running back Darrel Williams caught nine passes for 101 yards and a score. Mahomes limited his downfield throws, which helped make this effort just his third game without an interception this season.
The marquee matchup will come down to taking care of the football. The Cowboys have forced 17 turnovers so far this season, fourth-most in the league. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have committed 20 turnovers, second-most, though only one of those has come in the last two weeks. KC’s passing offense got going again last week, and now averages 303.8 passing yards per game, which ranks fourth in the NFL. Dallas, meanwhile, gives up 270.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. The Cowboys offense averages 6.3 yards per play (best in the NFL), compared to the 6.2 per play Kansas City gives up (30th in the league).
Kansas City has been favored by 2.5 points or more 11 times this season, and has covered just three of those occasions. They’ve seen the Over hit five times this year. The Cowboys have been underdogs by at least 2.5 points three times this season, and have covered each time.
Dallas 30, Kansas City 27
ML: DAL +135 (DraftKings); Spread: DAL +2.5/+100 (PointsBet); O/U: Over 55.5/-105 (DraftKings)
When: Sunday, November 21, 4:25 PM
Where: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Cardinals Best Odds | -135 (DraftKings) | -2.5/-108 (PointsBet) | Under 49.5/-105 (FoxBet) |
| Seahawks Best Odds | +122 (FanDuel) | +2.5/+100 (FoxBet) | Over 49.5/-110 (BetMGM) |
The Arizona Cardinals play the Seattle Seahawks in this matchup of NFC West division rivals. The Cardinals couldn’t overcome a second consecutive week of being shorthanded in their Week 10 loss at home. The Seahawks, meanwhile, welcomed back Russell Wilson from injury, but couldn’t find any offense in their snow-sprinkled loss to the Green Bay Packers.
The Arizona Cardinals (8-2, 7-3 ATS) couldn’t build on their positive momentum after a surprisingly easy win without Kyler Murray and others in Week 9. This week, backup quarterback Colt McCoy fumbled on the first drive and things just never came together for an offense missing its major pieces.
McCoy finished the game 11 of 20 for 107 yards and touchdown. McCoy left the game in the third quarter and didn’t return. Third-string quarterback Chris Streveler finished the game. The offense finished with just 169 total yards, by far a season-low. The previous low was 304 yards.
The Seattle Seahawks (3-6, 5-4 ATS) couldn’t capitalize on that positive momentum of Wilson’s return. The Packers shutout Seattle 17-0, marking the first time in 150 starts by Wilson that the team failed to score. Wilson struggled in his return after missing three games with an injury to the middle finger on his throwing hand that required surgery. He went 20 of 40 for 161 yards with two interceptions, both coming in the end zone.
The defense played well, keeping Green Bay out of the end zone until the fourth quarter. The 3-0 score was the league’s lowest total through three quarters in a game this season. The Seahawks defense picked off Aaron Rodgers in the end zone, but the team couldn’t capitalize on Packers mistakes.
The Cardinals are hopeful that Kyler Murray will be available for this game, and obviously his presence in the lineup will have a major effect on the line in this ballgame. Arizona’s offense ranks ninth in the NFL in yards per game (375.5), while the Seahawks rank 31st in yards allowed (400.6). Seattle’s offense is 30th in the league averaging 302.2 yards per game, while the Cardinals rank fourth in yards allowed (323.0).
The Cardinals have covered the spread three times this season (3-3 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites. In five games this season, Arizona and its opponents have scored more than 50 total points.
The Seahawks are 3-2 against the spread this season when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs. Seattle’s games have gone over the point total just once this season. Seattle and its opponents have scored more than 50 combined points just once this season.
Arizona 24, Seattle 20
ML: AZ -135 (DraftKings); Spread: AZ -2.5/-108 (PointsBet); O/U: Under 49.5/-105 (FoxBet)
When: Sunday, November 21, 8:20 PM
Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Steelers Best Odds | +210 (FanDuel) | +4/+107 (PointsBet) | Under 46.5/+100 (FoxBet) |
| Chargers Best Odds | -196 (DraftKings) | -5/-105 (FoxBet) | Over 47.5/-110 (BetMGM) |
The Pittsburgh Steelers play the Los Angeles Chargers in this pivotal matchup for the AFC playoff picture. Both teams enter after disappointing Week 10 efforts. The Steelers didn’t lose to the winless Detroit Lions at home, but they didn’t win either. The Chargers, however, faltered at SoFi and lost to the Minnesota Vikings.
The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1, 3-6 ATS) lost Ben Roethlisberger to the COVID-19 list late last week and Mason Rudolph took over in the huddle. Although the line narrowed after that news, the Steelers entered that Week 10 matchup against Detroit as solid favorites. But the Lions left Pittsburgh with a tie after overtime finished with the game even, 16-16.
The Steelers defense has been solid over their last five games, surrendering 92 points over that span, the sixth-fewest. Pittsburgh is 4-0-1 over that stretch, allowing just 18.6 points per game.
The Los Angeles Chargers (5-4, 5-4 ATS) dropped a very winnable game at home in Week 10, losing to the Minnesota Vikings 27-20. The Chargers have now lost three of their last four games. Justin Herbert completed 20 of 34 passes for 195 yards with a touchdown and interception. Keenan Allen had eight catches for 98 yards.
Los Angeles took a 17-13 early in the third quarter but couldn’t hang on. Down 10 in the fourth quarter, the Chargers failed to score a touchdown and opted for a field goal late. The team didn’t get the ball back as the Minnesota offense stayed on the field for the remainder of the game.
Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (COVID-19) is expected to start in Sunday’s game at the Chargers, according to NFL Network. Pittsburgh wants to make sure Roethlisberger “is physically fit enough to play” before declaring him eligible to come off the reserve/COVID-19 list. Meanwhile, safety Minkah Fitzpatrick (COVID-19) is expected to miss the matchup, which is a major blow to their secondary.
Los Angeles’ offense is 15th in the NFL at 24.3 points per game. Pittsburgh allows 20.6 per game (eighth in the league). The Chargers score on 62.2 percent of their red zone trips (12th in the NFL), and will be facing the Steelers’ third-ranked defense in that category (46.2 percent).
The Steelers offense has underwhelmed throughout the season, and ranks in the bottom third of the league in scoring, points per play, yards per game, and yards per play. That said, LA’s defense hasn’t been great either, ranking third in passing yards game, but below average in most other metrics.
Pittsburgh is 12-5 against the spread in its last 17 games against the Chargers. The total has gone Under in six of Pittsburgh’s last nine games. The Steelers have covered the spread twice this year (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
The Chargers are 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 games. The total has gone Under in 10 of LA’s last 15 games.
Los Angeles Chargers 26, Pittsburgh 20
ML: LAC -196 (DraftKings); Spread: LAC -5/-105 (FoxBet); O/U: Under 46.5/+100 (FoxBet)
When: Monday, November 22, 8:15 PM
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
| Moneyline | Spread | Totals | |
| Giants Best Odds | +450 (BetMGM) | +10.5/-110 (BetMGM) | Under 49.5/-105 (FoxBet) |
| Buccaneers Best Odds | -526 (DraftKings) | -11.5/+107 (PointsBet) | Over 49.5/-110 (BetMGM) |
The New York Giants play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this Monday Night Football matchup to close out the NFL Week 11 slate of games. The Giants enjoyed a week off after defeating the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 9. The Bucs, meanwhile, absorbed an upset loss at the hands of the Washington Football Team in Week 10.
The New York Giants (3-6, 5-4 ATS) had the week off after defeating the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 9. The Giants won 23-16, forcing three Las Vegas turnovers, including a game-sealing fumble with less than a minute remaining. New York safety Xavier McKinney’s 41-yard pick-six in third quarter gave the Giants the lead for good.
Daniel Jones finished 15 of 20 for 110 yards and a touchdown. New York finished with 245 total yards, though. The ground game piled up 149 rushing yards on 31 carries. Devontae Booker gained 99 yards on 21 carries. Kenny Golladay played for the first time since hurting a knee on Oct. 10 and had two catches for 28 yards.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-3, 3-6 ATS) went to Washington after their Bye Week, but couldn’t get their offense figured out. Tom Brady threw two interceptions for the second straight game, and Tampa Bay faltered once again on the road. They’ve maintained their lead in the NFC South, but can afford too many more slipups. As it is, the one-seed seems like a reach, so the Bucs must figure out how to play better on the road.
Brady threw the two interceptions in his first six passes, and finished 23 of 34 for 220 yards and two touchdowns. The early turnovers short-circuited the offensive effort, which didn’t score a first-half touchdown for just the fifth time in the past two seasons. Once the offense got going in the second half, the defense couldn’t come up with the big stop.
The Bucs might be without some key pieces on offense. Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski will both miss the game, and Chris Godwin will be a game-time decision. Defensive lineman Vita Vea will also miss the game.
That said, the Bucs have been dominant at home this season. Tampa Bay’s 4-0 at Raymond James Stadium, going 3-1 against the spread. The Bucs are 3-0 this season playing at home as a double-digit favorite. The Buccaneers have one of the best offenses in the NFL in yards per game (No. 3 at 406.4 yards per game), and will be facing the 25th-ranked Giants defense (372.4 yards per game allowed).
Tampa Bay has the third-ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 31.0 points per game. The Giants defense is 19th, giving up 24.0 points per contest. New York has the No. 32 offense in the NFL in converting red-zone opportunities (44.0 percent), and will be facing the Bucs’ 10th-ranked defense in that category (54.5 percent).
Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over 50 combined points in six of nine games this season. The Giants and their opponents have combined to score more than 50 points just twice this season.
Tampa Bay 35, New York Giants 17
ML: TB -526 (DraftKings); Spread: TB -11.5/+107 (PointsBet); O/U: Over 49.5/-110 (BetMGM)
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