NFL Week 7 Prop Bets: Stock Down on Moore, Stock Up on Andrews

Pop the champagne, Miami. There will be no perfect teams in 2023. The 1972 Dolphins remain the only undefeated squad in league history. We’d like to hope we’re going to go 3-0 on our picks this week. Let’s analyze the three best NFL prop bets for Week 7 of the 2023 season.

Since coming over in a blockbuster trade this offseason, D.J. Moore has lived up to the hype for the Chicago Bears. The wide-out is averaging nearly 100 yards-per-game this season. Moore is well on-pace to shatter his career high of 1,193 yards back in 2020. Two weeks ago, Chicago’s top target exploded on Thursday Night Football.

Last Sunday, Moore didn’t have his best day, nor his worst day. He caught five passes for 51 yards. Moore could have trouble next week against the Las Vegas Raiders. His over/under is 58.5 yards at PrizePicks. We suggest taking the under mainly because Moore is most likely going to have a backup quarterback throwing to him.

Justin Fields is doubtful for week 7 after dislocating his thumb against the Vikings last Sunday. Tyson Bagent is expected to fill-in for the injured signal-caller. Bagent went undrafted in the 2023 NFL Draft out of Shepherd University. He managed to make the team out of camp as the Bears’ backup QB. The rookie went 10/14 for 83 yards and a pick while playing when Fields was hurt.

The Raiders also quietly have a solid secondary. Vegas is 11th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per-game. Moore’s chances to have a big day are strongly hindered because he has a rookie signal caller making his first career start and he’s going against a strong back-end in Vegas. Expect Moore to not cross 58 yards.

One of the steadiest tight-ends in the league over the past few seasons has been Mark Andrews. After missing week 1, the former All-Pro has been solid. Andrews has averaged nearly 60 yards-per-game to go along with three touchdowns. 

Still, Andrews hasn’t quite had “that game” yet. He did have 80 yards and two scores against the Browns in early October, but he’s capable of more. The perennial Pro Bowler hasn’t gone over 100 yards in a game since week 17 last season. 

The good news is Andrews’ over/under for receiving yards this week against the Detroit Lions is just 55.5 at Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks. We think he’s going to surpass the century mark, so we certainly suggest taking the over on this total.

The Lions haven’t quite yet faced an elite tight-end. Travis Kelce missed the opener against them, so the best tight-end Detroit has played is probably Kyle Pitts — who doesn’t get used much anyway. Detroit is middle-of-the-pack in pass defense. That’s also without having faced the strongest offenses in the league. There’s an argument that Andrews is the best pass-catcher the Lions secondary have gone up against thus far. We believe this is the day Andrews goes off. Take the over on 55.5 yards.

The Los Angeles Rams won the Super Bowl in 2021 but fell flat in 2022. It wasn’t easy gauging them heading into this season. Shocker, L.A. is 3-3 and tough to predict week-in and week-out. The Rams did beat the Cardinals last week thanks to a 20-point second half. 

This Sunday should be a tougher matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Rams’ team over/under is 23.5 points with -112 odds at Fanduel Sportsbook to take the under. We like the under on this total.

Pittsburgh was supposed to have an elite defense this season, but it’s actually been pretty bad. The Steelers give up nearly 400 yards a contest. All-Pro Cam Heyward is most likely not coming back this week for the Black and Gold. Shouldn’t the Rams easily surpass the total? Not quite. 

Los Angeles might be missing both its top two running backs against Pittsburgh. That’ll turn the Rams into a one-dimensional offense. Ultimately, we believe the Steelers’ defense is better than what the numbers suggest, and they could easily stop the Rams without any of their running backs–even with Cooper Kupp.

Before you go, check out our Best Bets for Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season.