Six Super Bets for NFL Week 12

By Sidelines Staff   November 27, 2020 

Six Super Bets for NFL Week 12

With no teams on bye, three games on Thanksgiving, twelve more on Sunday, and then Monday Night Football, Week 12 is shaping up as one of the most exciting slates of the NFL season. It could also be one of the most exciting weeks for your wallet as there are tons of value bets all across the board. Here are the best half-dozen of the bunch.

6. Seattle Seahawks moneyline (-185) to beat the Philadelphia Eagles (pointsbet)

The Seahawks against the Eagles are the perfect team to take on the moneyline. While the 5 or 5.5 point spread isn’t especially gaudy, it is far more comforting to not have to worry about the Seahawks porous defense making a stop against the Eagles if Seattle leads 28-17 late in the game. Russell Wilson has been one of the three best QB’s so far in 2020, while of the players who have started a majority of their team’s games Carson Wentz has arguably been in the bottom three. If you would rather beat on Seattle against the spread here, no one would blame you. The Eagles are 3-7 against the spread and amazingly, a loss for the 3-6-1 Eagles would barely put a dent in their playoff aspirations.

5. Carolina Panthers (+4.5, -110) over the Minnesota Vikings (FanDuel)

At first glance of the Panthers vs Vikings game, why is anyone assuming the Vikings are better than the Panthers? The Vikings just lost to a 2-7 Cowboys team. The Panthers are coming off a 20-0 shutout against a better team, despite starting a QB from the XFL, while also missing their best player. This bet is assuming Teddy Bridgewater plays on Sunday, especially since Christian McCaffrey has already been ruled out. The Panthers have already nearly won in New Orleans and Kansas City, and rookie coach Matt Rhule has them playing as hard as any team in the NFL, while the Vikings are sleepwalking through the season for coach Mike Zimmer. You barely need the 4.5 points in this one.

4. Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5, -105) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (William Hill)

When looking at the Chiefs vs the Bucs, ask yourself this question: is there a chance that Kansas City blows out Tampa Bay in this game? Yes, absolutely. Now, is there a chance the Bucs blow out Kansas City? No, of course not. So, the 3.5 points seem light in this case. Even last week, against their current biggest nemesis, the Raiders, the Chiefs would have covered the 3.5 point spread. There is no more enticing betting proposition right now than getting your money in on Patrick Mahomes as a small favorite. Also, note that if you want to take the Chiefs at -3, you can get that number many places for -110, if you’d rather the half-point.

3. Miami Dolphins (-7, -100) over the New York Jets (William Hill)

So, a 6-4 team is playing a 0-10 team, and the 6-4 team has already beaten the 0-10 team by a score of 24-0 this season, and the line is only seven points? It would be a moral victory for the Jets to keep this semi-competitive, which they failed to do in Miami, so it’s not clear who is betting on the Jets to cover this spread. The Dolphins won five straight before last week’s loss, and they are an excellent 7-3 against the spread this season.

2. New York Giants (-3, -110) over the Cincinnati Bengals (Points Bet)

Most books have the Giants vs Bengals line at 5.5, so this is a promo for free money at -3, but you should like the Giants at any number under a touchdown. The Giants are a better team than the Bengals, when they actually have Joe Burrow. Now that the Bengals are missing their star QB, is there anyone you would want to bet against more than new Cincy QB Brandon Allen playing behind a terrible offensive line and without his top running back? Allen has only completed 46.2% of his passes during his five-year career as a journeyman. There is a better chance this game is a Giants blowout than there is of a Bengals win, which is the sure sign of a good bet.

1. Under 49 points (-110) for Cleveland Browns-Jacksonville Jaguars (Betmgm)

First of all, there have barely been 49 points scored in the Browns previous two games combined (actual number: 56). The totals of the Browns previous three games have been 39, 17, and 22. If the Browns can shut down Deshaun Watson and Derek Carr, what makes anyone think they will have trouble with Mike Glennon? Truly it is hard to imagine a scenario where this game goes over 49, so the Browns vs Jaguars should be one of your best bets of the entire year.

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