The Miami Dolphins made the postseason in 2022 for the first time in five years. After losing in the Wild Card Round, Miami returns healthier and stronger this season. After examining the Miami Dolphins’ 2023 NFL odds, here’s a look at Miami’s three best bets heading into this season.
In head coach Mike McDaniel’s second year, the Dolphins won nine games and reached the playoffs for the first time since 2016. It was their third straight winning season, a streak that should continue in 2023. The Dolphins enter the upcoming season at -110 to win over 9.5 games at BetMGM Sportsbook. We like Tua Tagovailoa and company to reach that mark for the third time in the last decade.
The only reason Miami didn’t hit 10 wins last season was because of the health of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. The Alabama product went 8-5 in games he started. But Miami proceeded to go 1-3 in other matchups. Tagovailoa had a full off-season to rest and get ready for 2023. If he’s fully healthy, 10 wins is clearly attainable and expected. If not, he’ll hopefully still do enough in the games he plays to keep the team afloat.
Outside of quarterback play, Miami has an extremely talented offense. Receivers Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill are arguably the best duo in the league. Raheem Mostert, Jeff Wilson Jr., and rookie De’Von Achane offer different skillsets at running back. And on defense, the signing of Eli Apple adds to an already daunting group led by Xavien Howard, Bradley Chubb, and Jaelan Phillips. Miami has the star power and depth to win 10 games for the first time since 2020, even in a tough AFC East.
Tyreek Hill is one of the fastest players in the NFL. He’s had five 1,000-plus yard seasons and just put up 1,710 in 2022, a new career high. He was targeted 170 times and had 119 receptions in his first year with the Dolphins. And although fellow wideout Jaylen Waddle was extremely impressive too, there’s room for Hill to improve. At FanDuel, Tyreek sits at +950 to lead the league in receiving yards. This is the year he finally achieves the feat.
Hill has been one of the most consistent players in football since his rookie season in 2016. The speedster had a great repertoire with Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes in his six seasons in Kansas City, and quickly did the same with Tua. During Tagovailoa’s 13 games in 2022, Hill had 1,408 of his 1,710 yards. That’s an average of almost 110 per game for over 1,840 total yards, which would have beaten Justin Jefferson’s league-leading numbers. Hill was handcuffed by Tua’s injury last season – expect different results in 2023.
Other receivers competing for the most yards may have trouble keeping up as well. Davante Adams has a downgraded QB. Cooper Kupp, Terry McLaurin, and Aman-Ra St. Brown all have potential injury concerns. Those situations create space for Hill to bolt in and take a hold of the receiving title. We expect him to do just that in 2023.
Last season, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle were dominant. The two combined for over 3,000 yards, nearly 200 receptions, and almost 300 targets. All of that was in their first season together. The odds for Hill or Waddle to garner 1,500-plus yards in 2023 stands at +100 at DraftKings. We like one of them, if not both, to reach that mark this season.
We’ve already discussed Hill’s expectations. If he leads the league in receiving, Hill will most certainly have at least 1,500 yards. But his wideout mate Waddle, entering his third season, is in line to hit that threshold too. Waddle had 1,000-plus yards in his first two seasons. In 2022, his production increased by over 300 yards, reaching 1,356. There’s no reason why that number can’t go up again.
Waddle and Tua have a great connection, one that would cash this bet if Tagovailoa plays more than 13 games. Obviously, that isn’t a given. But with the departure of tight end Mike Gesicki, more targets are available. Those targets will go straight to Waddle and Hill. It’ll be pretty easy for Hill to hit 1,500 yards, and Waddle being included in these odds is an added bonus. Only one of them has to reach this mark. We think it’s possible for both to do it.
Brush up on your sports-betting knowledge and pick up a few new skills for the new season in Sidelines’ NFL Betting Guide.
As it tends to do, NFL Draft night changed the fortunes for many teams in the league. The Chicago Bears, Washington Commanders, New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings, and Denver Broncos hope they found their long-term solution at...
Read more 3 Best Bets on NFL Odds Following the Draft
The NFL Draft is typically one of the more difficult sporting events — if you can call it that — to bet on. Oftentimes, the No. 1 pick is a slam dunk. That’s the case this year with Caleb Williams going to Chicago. Other...
Read more 2024 NFL Draft Odds: Player Prop Bets for Round 1
After more than two months of talk, combines, mock drafts, leaks, and smokescreens, the NFL Draft is nearly upon us! This year, Detroit hosts the festivities as the Motor City’s rejuvenation as a football town continues after the...
Read more NFL Draft Odds: Best Bets for Thursday’s First Round
We love to look ahead here at Sidelines. After all, it’s how things go in the sports-betting world. But sometimes, it’s fun to take a look down memory lane. However, this could be a traumatic look for some. We’re going to...
Read more Top 5 NFL Bad Beats From the 2023 Season
