dallas cowboys 31 vs tampa bay buccaneers 14

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Dallas Cowboys at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida, for this Monday Night Football version of Super Wild Card Weekend. 

The Cowboys (12-5, 9-7-1 ATS) fell in Week 18 to the Washington Commanders despite having an outside shot at the NFC East division title and the NFC’s 1-seed on the line. The Cowboys come to this contest as the superior team, which makes them the rare road favorites in a playoff game. Dallas went 4-4 on the road this season, but had one of the better road offenses in the league. The Cowboys ranked seventh in road scoring, averaging 24.6 points per game. 

That doesn’t bode well for the Buccaneers (8-9, 4-12-1 ATS), who earned this playoff home game by way of winning the dreadful NFC South division title. The Bucs beat just one winning team at home this season. Although they beat the Cowboys in Dallas in Week 1, Tampa Bay lost nine of their last 16 contests after that. While the Bucs had one of the league’s top passing attacks (269.8 yards per game, ranked second), Tampa Bay rolled out the league’s worst run game, averaging an NFL-low 76.9 rushing yards per game. 

The Under hit in six of the last seven matchups between the Cowboys and the Bucs, including that Week 1 matchup. Those games averaged just 34.7 points total. What’s more, the Under has hit in five of the last seven games between these teams in Tampa.