The number one team in the country faces its toughest test of the regular season. A pair of undefeated teams will square off for in-state supremacy. The six best teams in the Big Ten will all face each other on one day. It’s one of the best days of the college football season with three top 20 matchups, a number of potential season-changing upsets and interesting lines abound, so let’s get into the picks.
Season record: 13-13
Last season the Gators pulled a minor upset of Georgia, winning 44-28 as a +3.5 underdog. Stetson Bennett struggled at quarterback that day for Georgia, completing just 5 of 16 passes for 78 yards. While many of the stars of that game are in the NFL now, the Gators are now facing a much larger line of +14.
Florida has three losses this season, but they are all by less than a touchdown, falling to Alabama by 2 and losing to LSU and Kentucky by a touchdown each. Georgia has blown out ranked teams three weeks in a row, dispatching Auburn, Arkansas, and Kentucky by an average of 26 points per game.
Florida is much healthier than Georgia, which does not know who will be starting at quarterback on Saturday and is missing a number of key skill position players due to injury. You would feel a little better about this number if it goes to -14.5 but avoid altogether if it hits -13.5.
It’s a battle of undefeated top ten teams when the Wolverines visit the Spartans on Saturday. Michigan is favored but the team’s resumes look nearly identical thus far this season.
Michigan State is 7-0 with five wins of 17 points or more. The Spartans lone close games were against Nebraska, a 23-20 overtime win at home, and last week in Indiana when they won 20-15. Michigan State was a -3.5 favorite in both of those close games.
Michigan’s resume also includes a 3 point win over Nebraska and a 20-13 victory against Rutgers. Michigan did beat both Washington and Wisconsin by 21 points this season.
Last season the Spartans went to Ann Arbor as +21.5 underdogs and stunned Michigan 27-24.
The last time Tulane played the number two team in the country, it lost 40-35. Last game was earlier this season against Oklahoma, in what must be the strangest result of the season in hindsight, because Oklahoma is still undefeated and Tulane is 1-6.
The Green Wave have not defeated an FBS team this year and have blowout losses to teams like East Carolina. Cincinnati, on the other hand, has blown out a number of teams, beating UCF 56-21 and Temple 52-3.
The Bearcats narrowly escaped Navy last week,winning 27-20 as a -28.5 favorite. The truth is Cincinnati is probably four touchdowns better than Tulane but the Green Wave have a solid offense and can easily keep scoring in a blowout. The Bearcats are in no danger of losing this game, but -25.5 seems like a tall task.
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