Best College Football Bets November 13th

This week is a calm before the storm college football slate. Sure, there are very good games, like Oklahoma-Baylor, Michigan-Penn State, and Georgia-Tennessee, but no A-plus game of the week type games. You also have some matchups like Alabama versus New Mexico State where the only intrigue is if the Crimson Tide will cover a massive spread. The good news about gambling is the bets count no matter how good the games are, so let’s go through the best of this week’s slate.

Season record: 17-17

Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears

The Bet: Sooners -5.5 (-105, Bet MGM)

There are a bunch of streaks on the line in this game. The Sooners have defeated Baylor seven straight times. Oklahoma has won 17 straight games, dating back to early last season. Baylor is 5-0 at home this season.

Oklahoma is trying to keep its national title hopes alive, despite being ranked 8th in the College Football Playoff rankings. Baylor is 13th and is focused on making the Big 12 title game, which might entail a rematch with the Sooners.

The Sooners have played better since replacing Spencer Rattler with Caleb Williams, blowing out TCU and Texas Tech and putting up 52 points in both games, though they did struggle against Kansas in between those two games. The Sooners are 5-0 in games decided by a touchdown or less this season.

Last season, Baylor covered against Oklahoma, as the Sooners won 27-14 as -23.5 home favorites. This spread feels low, and presents a great opportunity for the Sooners to cover, even if this is another one-score game.

Northwestern vs Wisconsin

The Bet: Under 41.5 Points (-110, Sugar House)

The Badgers will be trying to win their sixth straight game when they host the Northwestern Wildcats on Saturday. The Badgers have climbed up to 18th in the country and are now the favorite to win the Big Ten West. Northwestern has just one Big Ten victory this season, a 21-7 upset of Rutgers.

Wisconsin is outside the top 90 in the country in scoring offense at 18.9 points per game, while Northwestern is in the bottom ten in the country at 13.6 points per game. Only three teams allow fewer points than the Badgers, who are giving up just 11.5 points per game.

Seven of the last eight Wisconsin-Northwestern games have gone under, including last year’s 17-7 Wildcats upset over the Badgers. Wisconsin recently allowed 3 points to |Rutgers, 7 points to Iowa, 13 to Purdue, 14 to an Army team that scored 56 on a ranked Wake Forest, and shut out Illinois. These teams might have to play twice to top 41.5 points, so the over is the play here.

New Mexico State vs Alabama

The Bet: New Mexico State +52 (-112, Sugar House)

The Bet: Under 67.5 Points (-114, FanDuel)

The Crimson Tide have a tradition of playing a FCS team late in the season and this year they are mixing it up by playing a 1-8 FBS team in New Mexico State. The Crimson Tide will use this game as a warmup for their upcoming encounters with Arkansas and Auburn.

These teams have played once before, in 2019, with Alabama winning 62-10.

Alabama is ranked second in the College Football Playoff rankings, and has won three straight games since their stunning loss to Texas A&M, beating Mississippi State, Tennessee and LSU.

New Mexico State is 1-8 on the year, with their lone win coming against FCS South Carolina State. The only other one-score game they have played this season was against San Jose State, losing 37-31.

Alabama’s largest margin of victory this year came against Southern Miss, with the Tide winning by 49 points as a -45 favorite. They beat Mississippi State by 40 points as a -17.5 favorite and beat FCS Mercer by 34 points as a -54 favorite.

The Aggies are 6-3 ATS, and are 5-0 ATS in road games. The largest spread NMSU faced before Alabama was +32.5 versus San Diego State, and they lost 28-10. They lost by 27 points to Nevada as a +28.5 underdog.

The Aggies are unlikely to put up many points, so if you are taking the 52 points it makes sense to play the under in tandem as well.