Other than the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors holding form, this past weekend was a wild one for NBA odds and bettors. Hopefully, the trends hold up a bit better in the nine games tonight: There aren’t too many double-digit spreads, so we should see some quality action across the Association this evening.
Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz
Best Bet: Utah -7/-110 (DraftKings)
The road hasn’t been kind to the Portland Trail Blazers this season: They’ve won just once away from the Moda Center this year, and that victory came over the lowly Houston Rockets. So far this season, the Blazers have been outscored in road games by an average of 11 points per game. Fortunately for them, they’ll return to Portland for a four-game homestand starting tomorrow.
The Utah Jazz have a league-best Offensive Rating of 114.4, and they should have little trouble scoring against a Trail Blazers team that’s given up 110 points or more in five of their last seven outings. The Jazz are out-scoring teams by nearly 10 points per game at home this season, and they’ve put up 118 points or more in four of their last five games at Vivint Arena.
Portland’s Defensive Rating of 112.3 ranks 29th in the NBA, so it’s no surprise that they’re 1-9 against the spread as the road team this year. Utah appears to have righted the ship after their puzzling 1-4 stretch earlier this month: Seven points doesn’t seem like too big of a number for them to cover this evening.
Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves
Best Bets: Timberwolves ML/-169 (DraftKings)
Maybe it’s time to take the Minnesota Timberwolves seriously. After all, they just held on for a double-OT road victory against the Philadelphia 76ers (despite 42 points and 14 rebounds from Joel Embiid). Two days earlier, they beat the Miami Heat by 12 points… four days after destroying the Memphis Grizzlies by 43.
It’s been exactly two weeks since the Timberwolves have scored fewer than 107 points in a game so, quite frankly, a loss to the water-treading Indiana Pacers (fresh off of a 118-110 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday night), would be a bit of a disappointment. The Timberwolves have won six of their last seven, and they’re 7-1 ATS in their last eight.
Indiana, meanwhile, is still trying to find their footing on the road, where they’re 3-9 so far this year. The Pacers shoot just 32.5 percent from beyond the arc outside of Indianapolis this season… not a good resume when facing a Minnesota team that ranks second in the NBA in opposing 3PT% at 31.9 percent.
Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
Best Bet: Heat -7.5/-110 (FanDuel)
Regardless of whether Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (right wrist sprain) suits up on Monday, Miami should have enough firepower to easily handle the struggling Denver offensive attack. The Heat are a league-best 6-1 ATS at FTX Arena this season, and they’re out-scoring visiting opponents by an average of 13 points per game.
Bright spots have been few and far between for Denver ever since Jokic went down, and they haven’t put a notch in the win column since their 29-point blowout of the Portland Trail Blazers on November 14. Five of those losses were by double-digits, and three of them came on the road, dropping their record in away games to a paltry 2-6.
This marks the first time that these two teams have faced each other since Jokic and Marcus Morris got into it on November 8. Both players may miss the rematch, but even with the reigning MVP, Denver will have their work cut out for them tonight against a Miami team that’s holding opponents to a conference-best 102.5 PPG.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Dallas Mavericks
Best Bet: Cleveland +7/-110 (WynnBet)
To the surprise of many, the Cleveland Cavaliers have continued to be fairly competitive even after losing Collin Sexton for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Cleveland is 13-7 against the spread overall this year, and they’re 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after beating the spread in their previous game… a good sign since they defeated the Orlando Magic 105-92 on Saturday.
Dallas has been a pedestrian 6-6 in November as they’ve dealt with injuries to both Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis over the past few weeks. Following their 120-114 upset loss to the visiting Washington Wizards on Saturday, the Mavericks are just 3-5 ATS at home this season, despite an overall home record of 6-2.
Cleveland’s only road loss this month was a 10-point defeat at the hands of the Brooklyn Nets on November 17. The Cavs may not be a good team, but they rarely get blown out, and with Evan Mobley fully recovered from this recent elbow injury, Cleveland should keep things close with the Mavs in Dallas tonight.