Utah is severely outmatched in this game. Even if its injured players, including Donovan Mitchell, Rudy Gobert, and Joe Ingles, all suit up, it’s going up against the best team in the NBA and its nine double-digit per game scorers, including Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton, and Chris Paul.
Phoenix is pretty clearly the best the league has to offer this season, and you can catch them just 4.5 points against a team that has only covered five games since mid-December and that has failed to cover two-thirds of its home games on the season. Don’t overthink this one.
Denver @ Brooklyn
The Bet: Nuggets -1.5 (-115, DraftKings)
You won’t find much good about either of these teams if you want to dig into their trends against the spread this season. They have the two worst ATS records in the league. Denver is 9-15 ATS on the road. Brooklyn is 5-18-1 ATS at home.
But without Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving in this matchup, there’s not much the Nets can do to really slow down a Jokic-led offense. The guy does way too much, and while Harden is equally talented and capable, he doesn’t contribute to every facet of his team the same way the Joker does. You’ve also got the fact that both teams played just last night, and the Nets are dealing with more and fresher injuries than the Nuggets, and you have the perfect recipe for another Western Conference road favorite to drop into Brooklyn and take a win, just like the Lakers did last night.
The Clippers are a confusing team right now because it’s hard to look at their active roster and understand why they win any games, nevermind recent victories at Boston, Brooklyn, and Philadelphia, among others. They just don’t have an obvious go-to guy in crunch time, but they figure it out as often as they don’t, at least when it comes to covering or not covering games. They’ve managed the cover in four of their last five and six of their last nine.
The Magic, meanwhile, are just a terrible basketball team right now. They’re 5-15 ATS at home, and 5-9 ATS in non-conference games. They won’t be able to hang with the wily old Clippers vets. Take the short road favorite.