Week 13 NFL Picks and Best Bets

With only a few spreads over 5 points this week, there are tough decisions across the board. Well, who better to help you make those tough decisions than someone who went 14-2 picking games last week. Unfortunately, we don’t have access to such a person, but we went 6-9-1 last week, and that will have to do.

They say good teams win but great teams cover. Well, the Buffalo Bills are the Super Bowl favorites but they’ve only covered once in their last five games and even that was by half a point. 

Over the last five games, Cleveland has wins over the Bengals and Bucs, and close losses to the Bills and Ravens with Jacoby Brissett. Now they get Deshaun Watson back to face a Houston team that is not only on a six game losing streak, but is 1-5 ATS in that span. 

Seven straight Broncos games have hit the under, which is 38.5 on Sunday. 

This is a stay away until we know who is playing QB for both teams.  

Detroit and Jacksonville top the list of December spoilers. One of these teams is going to knock someone out of the playoffs.

The Falcons have covered just once in their last six games

Here are two true statements:

1. The Minnesota Vikings are 9-2

2. The Minnesota Vikings, per DVOA, are the worst team left on the Jets’ schedule.

The Commanders have won six of their last seven games, but only one of those wins, the win over the Eagles, was against a team even in the playoff picture. 

Other than their Week 2 destruction in Buffalo, the Titans have just three losses all season, all to playoff teams, all by four or fewer points. 

We are all sleeping on the fact that the Dolphins are still undefeated this season when Tua Tagovailoa plays the entire game

The Rams have only covered once since September. The Seahawks have not been favored by more than 4 points all season and are 1-2 outright as a favorite. 

The Chiefs were -7 favorites when they lost to the Bengals in the AFC Championship game last year and -3.5 road favorites when they lost to the Bengals in Week 17 last season. 

The Raiders only loss by more than 6 points all season was when they were shut out by the Saints(!?) 24-0 in Week 8. 

The Cowboys’ last six wins have all been by 8 or more points. 

The Bucs won 20-10 at New Orleans in Week 2 as a -2.5 favorite, in a game best remembered for Tom Brady smashing a tablet. 

Best Bets on the Season: 11-11