Week 12 NFL Picks

By Akiva Wienerkur   November 27, 2022 

Week 12 NFL Picks

COMMANDERS (-4) over Falcons

After opening up 1-4, Washington has won five of their last six games and the Commanders are 5-0-1 ATS in that span. 

Ravens (-4) over JAGUARS (BEST BET)

The Jaguars have won once since September. They have also covered just once since September. 

Bears (+4.5) over JETS

Fun fact: The Jets have not covered against the Bears since 1997

The Bears have lost their last three games, by 3, 1, and 3 points. Ignore this pick if news breaks that Justin Fields isn’t playing.

When I was kid I went to a Jets-Bears game on Sunday Night Football that had two notable features: First Johnny Johnson had a Jets record 90 yard rush, and the Jets didn’t score on the drive. Two, the Bears wore the worst jerseys in NFL history.

Worst jerseys of all time?

Bengals (-1.5) over TITANS

The Titans were -4 home favorites in last year’s playoffs, when they lost to the Bengals 19-16, despite sacking Joe Burrow nine times

Texans (+13.5) over DOLPHINS

The Dolphins have just one win by 13.5 points all season.

Broncos (-2.5) over PANTHERS

The total for this game is 36 points, which sounds low until you realize that overs are 1-9 in Broncos games this season. 

Bucs (-3.5) over BROWNS

The Browns have allowed 30+ points four times in the last six games. The Bucs have scored 22 or less in six straight games. Who will bend first? 

Chargers (-4.5) over CARDINALS

The Chargers are a .500 team, treated like a Super Bowl contender. The Cardinals are a 4-7 team treated like a .500 team. 

SEAHAWKS (-3.5) over Raiders

This could be Josh McDaniels last chance to save his job. 

Is this it for Josh McDaniels? Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Is this it for Josh McDaniels? Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Rams (+14.5) over CHIEFS

Two teams that have taken wildly different approaches to the ‘flags fly forever’ concept. The Chiefs’ future odds are +450 and the Rams are +25000 to win it all.

Saints (+9.5) over 49ERS

What a quiet year from the 4-7 Saints. It feels like they are barely in the NFL right now. 

Packers (+7) over EAGLES

The Packers have pretty quietly played a tough schedule. Their last three wins are against the Bucs, Patriots, and Cowboys, while they have losses in that span against the Titans, Bills, Jets, Giants, and Commanders.  

Steelers (+2.5) over Colts

Mike Tomlin is getting 2.5 points against Jeff Saturday.

(Thanksgiving Games, Already Picked)

LIONS (+9.5) over Bills 

The Lions have lost five straight games on Thanksgiving Day. The last time these two teams played on Thanksgiving was in 1994. The Lions won 35-21 as Dave Krieg threw for 351 yards and 2 TD. 

Giants (+9.5) over COWBOYS

The Cowboys have won ten of their last eleven games against the Giants and have covered in nine of those wins, including a 23-16 win as a +1 road underdog with Cooper Rush in September. This spread is just 2.5 points too high. 

Patriots (+2.5) over VIKINGS

A pair of teams that each scored 3 points on offense last week square off. As for the defenses, what’s worse: allowing 3 points to Zach Wilson or 40 to Dak Prescott?

This week 2-1

Best Bets (Season): 11-10

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