Denver Broncos (1-3, 3-1 ATS) vs. New England Patriots (2-2, 2-2 ATS)
The Patriots had their last game delayed by a day and also didn’t have quarterback Cam Newton due to a positive COVID-19 test. This past week, New England cornerback Stephon Gilmore tested positive for the virus, so New England did not practice for most of last week and the game was eventually postponed, giving each team their impromptu bye week in Week 5. After some schedule juggling for both teams, it’s the Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots this Sunday at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
Denver is coming into this game with four more days’ worth of rest after beating the New York Jets last Thursday 37-28. Brett Rypien made his NFL debut for the Broncos in the win and will start Sunday if Drew Lock can’t go due to injury. The extra week’s worth of preparation should allow Lock to heal and play, however, according to head coach Vic Fangio. Melvin Gordon III rushed for 107 yards and two scores in the win.
The Patriots had to start journeyman Brian Hoyer at quarterback in Week 4 and lost to the Kansas City Chiefs 24-10, a loss punctuated by a pick-six thrown by Hoyer to Tyronn Mathieu. The extra week should give Newton a chance to return, but regardless, they will have three serviceable running backs—Sony Michel, Rex Burkhead, and James White. Julian Edelman also has 294 receiving yards on the season.
DENVER BRONCOS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS ODDS AND TRENDS
The Patriots are over a touchdown favorite even with Newton and Lock’s statuses in question, and New England performs well as heavy favorites—18-2 straight up and 13-6-1 against the spread when favored by over a touchdown against an AFC team. But Denver has been decent at covering on the road, going 6-2 against the spread in their last eight despite being only 3-5 straight up.