Cincinnati Bengals (1-3-1, 3-1-1 ATS) vs. Indianapolis Colts (3-2, 3-2 ATS)
Both teams are coming of humbling losses in Week 5 as the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts square off Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. Joe Burrow and the Bengals hadn’t been held to fewer than 23 points in their prior three games before going to Baltimore but ended up with a resounding 27-3 loss. The Colts brought the league’s best defense (based on points allowed) and gave up 32 in a nine-point loss to the Browns in Cleveland.
Burrow had the quintessential humbling game that every rookie quarterback experiences, being held to 183 yards and one interception while fumbling twice and being sacked seven times. Joe Mixon leads the team in rushing with 374 yards and two scores, and Taj Boyd leads the receiving corps with 362 yards and a score with A.J. Green hobbled by a hamstring injury.
The Colts had only been allowing 14 points per game going into the game against the Browns, but that average is still at a more-than-respectable 17.6 points per game, still good for second in the league behind Baltimore’s 15.2. Philip Rivers had a forgettable performance, throwing for no touchdowns and two interceptions. He only has four touchdown passes on the season, but four of his five interceptions have come on the road. Jonathan Taylor has 307 yards and three touchdowns on only 77 touches, and T.Y. Hilton is coming on after a slow start, leading the team with 231 receiving yards.
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS ODDS AND TRENDS
The Bengals struggled against a top defense last week and they get another one this week—again on the road. But despite last week’s resounding defeat, the Bengals have been a good team on the road against the spread. They have lost 16-straight road games but are 10-6 ATS in those contests. Cincy is also 7-5 ATS in their last dozen games when facing a spread of a six or more, and it’s 9.5 points in this game. The Colts have covered four out of their last five home games, including twice this season in dominant wins over the Jets and Vikings.