buffalo bills vs detroit lions ODDS COMPARISON & PREDICTION

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MONEYLINE ODDS COMPARISON

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ANALYSIS

The Buffalo Bills head to Ford Field for the second time in five days, this time as the away team, to take on the streaking Lions in the first Thanksgiving game of 2022. 

Last week against the Browns, the Bills put up 31 points, a feat one would expect from such a high octane offense. Something NFL fans would not expect however, would be that only 14 of those 31 points came from touchdowns. Bills kicker Tyler Bass converted 6 FGs which allowed the Browns to stay in a game that really should have been a blowout. This week against the Lions, except a lot more touchdowns against a Detroit defense that has so far been historically bad. 

The Detroit Lions start to the season was, in polite terms, awful. They have since turned things up and have been on a three game win streak. Yes, two of those wins were against the Packers and Bears, but their most recent win against the Giants proved they can contend with top teams. The Lions have scored 31 points in back to back games while their defense has seemed to improve, allowing an average of only 19 points in their win streak. If the Lions want a chance at contending against the Bills, both their offense and defense must be firing on all cylinders. Note that the last time the Lions beat the Bills was in 2006.

 

WHY BET ON THE buffalo bills

The Bills are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Lions, and note that in all of their games played the over has not hit once. In their away games this year, the Bills are 3-2 SU and 2-2-1 ATS. Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in their last 3 games.

WHY BET ON THE detroit lions

The Lions have a 2-3 record SU in home games, but fare better ATS where they are 3-2. The over has hit in 7 of the Lions 10 games. The Lions have covered in their last 3 games, and before that stretch, they failed to cover in 3 straight games.

VS PAST MATCHUPS

Nov-23rd
BUF
over
28
:
25
DET
Aug-12th
BUF
over
16
:
15
DET
Aug-23rd
BUF
over
24
:
20
DET
Dec-15th
DET
under
13
:
14
BUF

BUF GAMES

KC
over
27
:
24
BUF
PIT
under
17
:
31
BUF
BUF
over
21
:
14
MIA
NE
under
21
:
27
BUF
BUF
over
24
:
22
LAC

DET GAMES

DET
under
31
:
34
SF
TB
under
23
:
31
DET
LA
under
23
:
24
DET
MIN
under
20
:
30
DET
DET
under
19
:
20
DAL

STATISTICS & RECORDS

AVG. per Game

team stats

AVG. per Game
Passing
7.4
Passing Avg Yards
7.6
18
Passing Interceptions
12
579
Passing Attempts
606
48
Opponents Passing Longest
92
3342
Opponents Passing Yards
4205
6.7
Opponents Passing Avg yards
7.8
18
Opponents Passing Touchdowns
28
363
Opponents Passing Completions
371
4154
Passing Yards
4401
385
Pass Completions
408
66.5
Completion Percentage
67.3
152
Sack Yards
205
92.2
Passing Rating
98.1
29
Passing Touchdowns
30
24
Passer Sacks
31
81
Longest Pass
70
81
Longest Passing Touchdown
70
2337
Passing Air Yards
2450
68
Red Zone Passing Attempts
73
4154
Net Passing Yards
4401
4306
Gross Passing Yards
4606
0
Passing Interception Touchdowns
2
28
Throw Aways
27
78
Poor Throws
87
55
Defended Passes
45
31
Dropped Passes
35
2
Spikes
4
182
Passer Blitzes
213
51
Passer Hurries
42
51
Passer Knockdowns
69
1416.1
Pocket Time
1467.4
7
Batted Passes
14
426
On Target Throws
462
552
588
3.3
4.8
Receiving
4306
Receiving Yards
4606
48
Opponents Receiving Longest
92
363
Opponents Receiving Receptions
371
3676
Opponents Receiving Yards
4562
1730
Opponents Receiving Yards After Catch
1830
545
Receiving Targets
574
385
Receptions
408
11.2
Average Receiving Yards
11.3
29
Receiving Touchdowns
30
1969
Receiving Yards After Catch
2156
81
Longest Reception
70
81
Longest Receiving Touchdown
70
62
Receiving Red Zone Targets
65
2337
Receiving Air Yards
2450
26
Receiving Broken Tackles
37
31
Dropped Passes
35
32
Catchable Passes
35
515
Receiving Yards After Contact
542
Rushing
4.3
Rushing Avg Yards
4.6
22
Rushing Touchdowns
27
83
Opponents Rushing Longest
37
1880
Opponents Rushing Yards
1509
764
Opponents Rushing Yards After Contact
633
2212
Rushing Yards
2311
512
Rushing Attempts
500
37
Rushing Yards Lost
36
-94
Rushing Total Yards Lost
-78
42
Longest Rush
75
28
Longest Rushing Touchdown
75
107
Red Zone Rushing Attempts
106
18
Rushing Broken Tackles
40
22
Rushing Kneel Downs
21
50
Rushing Scrambles
7
917
Rushing Yards After Contact
1061
14
15
409
408
3.4
3.7
4.3
5.4
Touchdowns
34
Opponents Touchdowns Total
46
29
Passing Touchdowns
30
22
Rushing Touchdowns
27
3
Total Return Touchdowns
1
54
Total Touchdowns
58
0
Fumble Return for Touchdowns
0
2
Interception Return for Touchdowns
1
0
Kick Return Touchdowns
0
1
Punt Return Touchdowns
0
0
Other Touchdowns
0
Sacks
24
Opponents Defense Sacks
31
Interceptions
18
Opponents Defense Interceptions
12
148
Interception Return Yards
209
18
Interception Returns
16
18
Interceptions
16
Kicking
25
Opponents Extra Points Kicks Made
39
96.2
95.1
26
26
51
65
49
Extra Points Kicks Made
48
Punts
51
Punt Attempts
57
2334
Punt Yards
2646
2030
Net Punt Yards
2329
0
Blocked Punts
0
3
Punt Touchbacks
5
24
Punts Inside 20
26
244
Punt Return Yards
197
39.8
Average Net Punt Yards
40.9
45.8
Average Punt Yards
46.4
70
Longest Punt
70
218
Punt Hang Time
266.8
4.3
Average Punt Hang Time
4.7
Punt_returns
11.6
Average Punt Return Yards
11.4
31
Punt Returns
29
360
Punt Return Yards
331
96
Longest Punt Return
42
1
Punt Return Touchdowns
0
96
Longest Punt Return Touchdown
0
25
Punt Fair Catches
23
Penalties
106
Penalties
97
883
Penalty Yards
843
Kickoffs
9
Kickoffs Reaching End Zone
13
19
Kickoffs Inside 20
8
649
Kickoff Return Yards
561
28
Kickoffs Returned
26
53
Kickoff Touchbacks
60
5952
Kickoff Yards
5818
1
Out of Bounds Kickoffs
0
95
Kickoffs
93
1
Onside Kick Attempts
3
0
Successful Onside Kicks
0
0
Squib Kicks
0
Kick_returns
20.5
Average Kickoff Return Yards
22.2
349
Kickoff Return Yards
421
41
Longest Kickoff Return
31
0
Kickoff Return Touchdowns
0
0
Longest Kickoff Return Touchdown
0
4
Kickoff Fair Catch
2
17
Kickoff Returns
19
Int_returns
8.2
Average Interception Return Yards
13.1
148
Interception Return Yards
209
40
Longest Interception Return
50
2
Interception Return Touchdowns
1
40
Longest Interception Touchdown Return
50
18
Interception Returns
16
Fumbles
20
Fumbles
18
10
Lost Fumbles
11
7
Own Fumble Recovery
5
-4
Own Fumble Recovery Yards
-10
12
Fumble Recoveries
6
7
Fumble Recovery Yards
36
1
Fumble Out of Bounds
2
14
Forced Fumbles
13
0
Offensive Fumble Recovery for Touchdown
0
0
Fumble Recovery Touchdowns
0
0
Fumble Recovery in End Zone for TD
0
15
Opponents Fumbles Forced Fumbles
15
First_downs
199
Passing First Downs
228
24
First Down Penalties
23
158
Rushing First Downs
124
381
Total First Downs
375
Field_goals
29
Field Goal Attempts
21
24
Field Goals Made
19
1
Field Goals Blocked
0
898
Field Goal Yards
674
32.1
Average Field Goal Yards
32.1
54
Longest Field Goals
52
4
Missed Field Goals
2
82.8
Field Goal Percentage
90.5
0
FG Attempts Over 19 Yards
0
4
FG Attempts Over 29 Yards
3
13
FG Attempts Over 39 Yards
13
6
FG Attempts Over 49 Yards
3
6
FG Attempts Over 50 Yards
2
0
Made FGs Over 19 Yards
0
4
Made FGs Over 29 Yards
2
12
Made FGs Over 39 yards
13
4
Made FGs Over 49 Yards
3
4
Made FGs Over 50
1
Defense
664
Tackles
644
321
Assisted Tackles
315
985
Combined Tackles
959
54
Sacks
41
334
Sack Yards
357
18
Interceptions
16
79
Defended Passes
79
12
Forced Fumbles
11
11
Defensive Fumble Recoveries
6
117
QB Hits
116
85
Tackles for Loss
81
357
Tackles for Loss Yards
413
0
Safeties
1
38
Special Teams Tackles
38
13
Special Teams Assisted Tackles
24
1
Special Teams Forced Fumbles
1
1
Special Teams Fumble Recoveries
0
1
Special Team Blocks
1
17
Misc. Tackles
8
2
Misc. Assisted Tackles
5
1
Misc. Forced Fumbles
1
1
Misc. Fumble Recoveries
0
530
596
363
386
206
Blitzes
307
46
Hurries
74
59
Knockdowns
72
101
Missed Tackles
124
18
Batted Passes
16
37
Three and Outs
32
9
Fourth Down Stops
11
All
17
Games Played
17
Efficiency
65
64
Passing
5.6
Passing Avg Yards
7.5
0
Passing Interceptions
0
69
Passing Attempts
111
33
Opponents Passing Longest
51
433
Opponents Passing Yards
934
7.2
Opponents Passing Avg yards
9.1
4
Opponents Passing Touchdowns
6
39
Opponents Passing Completions
71
375
Passing Yards
792
47
Pass Completions
77
68.1
Completion Percentage
69.4
14
Sack Yards
45
101.7
Passing Rating
103.3
4
Passing Touchdowns
4
2
Passer Sacks
7
34
Longest Pass
33
29
Longest Passing Touchdown
9
107
Passing Air Yards
397
8
Red Zone Passing Attempts
21
375
Net Passing Yards
792
389
Gross Passing Yards
837
0
Passing Interception Touchdowns
0
2
Throw Aways
3
8
Poor Throws
20
5
Defended Passes
6
7
Dropped Passes
5
0
Spikes
0
23
Passer Blitzes
29
4
Passer Hurries
4
3
Passer Knockdowns
8
162.8
Pocket Time
282.1
2
Batted Passes
1
57
On Target Throws
88
62
108
6.5
5.6
Receiving
389
Receiving Yards
837
33
Opponents Receiving Longest
51
39
Opponents Receiving Receptions
71
444
Opponents Receiving Yards
983
199
Opponents Receiving Yards After Catch
470
67
Receiving Targets
108
47
Receptions
77
8.3
Average Receiving Yards
10.9
4
Receiving Touchdowns
4
282
Receiving Yards After Catch
440
34
Longest Reception
33
29
Longest Receiving Touchdown
9
7
Receiving Red Zone Targets
20
107
Receiving Air Yards
397
4
Receiving Broken Tackles
8
7
Dropped Passes
5
7
Catchable Passes
5
94
Receiving Yards After Contact
145
Rushing
4.9
Rushing Avg Yards
4.7
3
Rushing Touchdowns
7
29
Opponents Rushing Longest
25
252
Opponents Rushing Yards
312
137
Opponents Rushing Yards After Contact
163
361
Rushing Yards
375
73
Rushing Attempts
80
6
Rushing Yards Lost
7
-14
Rushing Total Yards Lost
-17
52
Longest Rush
42
52
Longest Rushing Touchdown
42
12
Red Zone Rushing Attempts
18
6
Rushing Broken Tackles
5
1
Rushing Kneel Downs
7
8
Rushing Scrambles
1
196
Rushing Yards After Contact
152
1
3
47
65
2.1
4.6
4.1
8.8
Touchdowns
5
Opponents Touchdowns Total
9
4
Passing Touchdowns
4
3
Rushing Touchdowns
7
0
Total Return Touchdowns
0
7
Total Touchdowns
11
0
Fumble Return for Touchdowns
0
0
Interception Return for Touchdowns
0
0
Kick Return Touchdowns
0
0
Punt Return Touchdowns
0
0
Other Touchdowns
0
Sacks
2
Opponents Defense Sacks
7
Interceptions
0
Opponents Defense Interceptions
0
0
Interception Return Yards
21
1
Interception Returns
3
1
Interceptions
3
Kicking
5
Opponents Extra Points Kicks Made
8
100
100
3
6
8
14
7
Extra Points Kicks Made
11
Punts
5
Punt Attempts
10
223
Punt Yards
474
196
Net Punt Yards
454
0
Blocked Punts
0
0
Punt Touchbacks
1
2
Punts Inside 20
7
27
Punt Return Yards
0
39.2
Average Net Punt Yards
45.4
44.6
Average Punt Yards
47.4
52
Longest Punt
74
19.2
Punt Hang Time
46
3.8
Average Punt Hang Time
4.6
Punt_returns
0
Average Punt Return Yards
8
0
Punt Returns
4
0
Punt Return Yards
32
0
Longest Punt Return
10
0
Punt Return Touchdowns
0
0
Longest Punt Return Touchdown
0
2
Punt Fair Catches
0
Penalties
7
Penalties
10
52
Penalty Yards
66
Kickoffs
0
Kickoffs Reaching End Zone
1
1
Kickoffs Inside 20
0
44
Kickoff Return Yards
52
2
Kickoffs Returned
2
8
Kickoff Touchbacks
14
690
Kickoff Yards
1049
0
Out of Bounds Kickoffs
0
11
Kickoffs
17
0
Onside Kick Attempts
1
0
Successful Onside Kicks
0
0
Squib Kicks
0
Kick_returns
23
Average Kickoff Return Yards
46
Kickoff Return Yards
27
Longest Kickoff Return
0
Kickoff Return Touchdowns
0
Longest Kickoff Return Touchdown
1
Kickoff Fair Catch
2
Kickoff Returns
Int_returns
0
Average Interception Return Yards
7
0
Interception Return Yards
21
0
Longest Interception Return
12
0
Interception Return Touchdowns
0
0
Longest Interception Touchdown Return
0
1
Interception Returns
3
Fumbles
2
Fumbles
2
0
Lost Fumbles
1
1
Own Fumble Recovery
1
0
Own Fumble Recovery Yards
0
1
Fumble Recoveries
0
0
Fumble Recovery Yards
0
1
Fumble Out of Bounds
0
4
Forced Fumbles
1
0
Offensive Fumble Recovery for Touchdown
0
0
Fumble Recovery Touchdowns
0
0
Fumble Recovery in End Zone for TD
0
2
Opponents Fumbles Forced Fumbles
2
First_downs
23
Passing First Downs
50
3
First Down Penalties
5
25
Rushing First Downs
22
51
Total First Downs
77
Field_goals
5
Field Goal Attempts
3
2
Field Goals Made
3
1
Field Goals Blocked
0
72
Field Goal Yards
98
18
Average Field Goal Yards
32.7
45
Longest Field Goals
54
2
Missed Field Goals
0
40
Field Goal Percentage
100
0
FG Attempts Over 19 Yards
0
2
FG Attempts Over 29 Yards
2
0
FG Attempts Over 39 Yards
0
3
FG Attempts Over 49 Yards
0
0
FG Attempts Over 50 Yards
1
0
Made FGs Over 19 Yards
0
1
Made FGs Over 29 Yards
2
0
Made FGs Over 39 yards
0
1
Made FGs Over 49 Yards
0
0
Made FGs Over 50
1
Defense
57
Tackles
107
46
Assisted Tackles
61
103
Combined Tackles
168
1
Sacks
8
11
Sack Yards
49
1
Interceptions
3
9
Defended Passes
13
4
Forced Fumbles
1
1
Defensive Fumble Recoveries
0
8
QB Hits
21
5
Tackles for Loss
14
16
Tackles for Loss Yards
51
0
Safeties
0
5
Special Teams Tackles
2
0
Special Teams Assisted Tackles
2
0
Special Teams Forced Fumbles
0
0
Special Teams Fumble Recoveries
0
0
Special Team Blocks
0
0
Misc. Tackles
0
0
Misc. Assisted Tackles
0
0
Misc. Forced Fumbles
0
0
Misc. Fumble Recoveries
0
62
103
42
70
12
Blitzes
54
6
Hurries
6
5
Knockdowns
11
12
Missed Tackles
42
3
Batted Passes
5
3
Three and Outs
4
1
Fourth Down Stops
1
All
2
Games Played
3
Efficiency
7
11