One of our favorites is trying to pick the MVP. This year’s odds on BetMGM are in line with what you get every year. The quarterbacks will be heavily favored, but if you can identify a player who can steal the award with an incredible performance, it can make for a nice payday.
This year, Travis Kelce is the most likely player to win it outside of Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes. The Eagles have two big wide receivers in A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith, but it’s tough to pick which one of them could be targeted more. They have also both had a quiet playoff run. Miles Sanders scored twice during the NFC Championship game, but the Eagles have two other running backs. Plus, Hurts also runs the ball a lot.
Mahomes featured Marquez Valdes-Scantling plenty during the AFC Championship, but if we’re going to pick a non-QB for the award, we’ll go with Kelce for the Chiefs and Sanders for the Eagles.
NFL Super Bowl Prop Bet: Will the Opening Kickoff Be a Touchback?
We didn’t see many touchbacks in the cold weather in Philadelphia and Kansas City last weekend, but with the big game in Arizona, expect the length on kickoffs to return. Game officials said that the roof on State Farm Stadium will only be open if the weather is favorable, so if wind is a factor, expect the roof to be closed.
According to FanDuel, the odds for the opening kickoff to be a touchback is set at -160, which equates to around a 60% chance. There’s value in yes, the opening kickoff will be a touchback.
Super Bowl Prop Bet: Eagles Total Rushing Touchdowns at 1.5
If there’s one thing the Eagles like to do, it’s rush the ball. In 17 games this year, they scored 32 touchdowns on the ground. As we mentioned above, there are plenty of options among Hurts, Sanders, Kenneth Gainwell, and Boston Scott.
The Eagles had no trouble scoring in the playoffs, putting up 69 points in two games. In those two games against the San Francisco 49ers and New York Giants, Philly had seven rushing touchdowns. We expect that they will get two in the Super Bowl. Philadelphia over 1.5 rushing touchdowns, +120 at DraftKings.
Super Bowl Prop Bet: First Quarter Points Total of 9.5
The first-quarter points total at Caesars Sportsbook stands at 9.5, meaning a touchdown (with the extra point) and a field goal will do it. Looking at the season-long stats, both teams are in the top five in first-quarter scoring. Philadelphia is at 5.8 points per game with KC at 5.4.
In the playoffs, the Eagles scored a touchdown in the first drive of both of their games. Kansas City got a TD vs. Jacksonville in the Divisional round and kicked a field goal against Cincinnati last weekend. And this is just from their first drive!
We’re expecting more of the same in Super Bowl LVII, and given an entire quarter for one team to get into the end zone and the other to get a field goal–even with inflated odds favoring the under–we think the over of 9.5 points in the first quarter at -140 is a solid bet.
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