NFL Super Bowl LVII: The Four Best Prop Bets for Chiefs vs. Eagles

By Chris Hughes   February 7, 2023 

NFL Super Bowl LVII: The Four Best Prop Bets for Chiefs vs. Eagles

Not only is the Super Bowl the biggest game in North American sports, but it’s also the the day to place prop bets.

You can of course go with the conventional spread, over-under total, or even moneyline bet, but many players enjoy supplementing those wagers with prop bets that can payout throughout the game.

Today, we’re going to take a look at some key game props to place for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles matchup on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.


Super Bowl Prop Bet: Who Will Win MVP?

One of our favorites is trying to pick the MVP. This year’s odds on BetMGM are in line with what you get every year. The quarterbacks will be heavily favored, but if you can identify a player who can steal the award with an incredible performance, it can make for a nice payday.

Jalen Hurts (PHI QB)+110
Patrick Mahomes (KC QB)+125
Travis Kelce (KC TE)+1100
A.J. Brown (PHI WR)+1400
Devonta Smith (PHI WR)+2500
MIles Sanders (PHI RB)+3000

Last year, Cooper Kupp was +600 and provided a solid win for those who figured he would perform well enough to win the award over Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford. That’s what happened after Kupp caught the game-winning touchdown pass to beat Cincinnati.

This year, Travis Kelce is the most likely player to win it outside of Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes. The Eagles have two big wide receivers in A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith, but it’s tough to pick which one of them could be targeted more. They have also both had a quiet playoff run. Miles Sanders scored twice during the NFC Championship game, but the Eagles have two other running backs. Plus, Hurts also runs the ball a lot.

Mahomes featured Marquez Valdes-Scantling plenty during the AFC Championship, but if we’re going to pick a non-QB for the award, we’ll go with Kelce for the Chiefs and Sanders for the Eagles.

NFL Super Bowl Prop Bet: Will the Opening Kickoff Be a Touchback?

We didn’t see many touchbacks in the cold weather in Philadelphia and Kansas City last weekend, but with the big game in Arizona, expect the length on kickoffs to return. Game officials said that the roof on State Farm Stadium will only be open if the weather is favorable, so if wind is a factor, expect the roof to be closed.

The Eagles and Chiefs had touchback rates of around 65%, but those stats were skewed by their home stadiums. On the road, KC had a touchback rate of 71%, and Philadelphia’s was 83%.

According to FanDuel, the odds for the opening kickoff to be a touchback is set at -160, which equates to around a 60% chance. There’s value in yes, the opening kickoff will be a touchback.

Super Bowl Prop Bet: Eagles Total Rushing Touchdowns at 1.5

If there’s one thing the Eagles like to do, it’s rush the ball. In 17 games this year, they scored 32 touchdowns on the ground. As we mentioned above, there are plenty of options among Hurts, Sanders, Kenneth Gainwell, and Boston Scott.

The Eagles had no trouble scoring in the playoffs, putting up 69 points in two games. In those two games against the San Francisco 49ers and New York Giants, Philly had seven rushing touchdowns. We expect that they will get two in the Super Bowl. Philadelphia over 1.5 rushing touchdowns, +120 at DraftKings.

Super Bowl Prop Bet: First Quarter Points Total of 9.5

The first-quarter points total at Caesars Sportsbook stands at 9.5, meaning a touchdown (with the extra point) and a field goal will do it. Looking at the season-long stats, both teams are in the top five in first-quarter scoring. Philadelphia is at 5.8 points per game with KC at 5.4.

In the playoffs, the Eagles scored a touchdown in the first drive of both of their games. Kansas City got a TD vs. Jacksonville in the Divisional round and kicked a field goal against Cincinnati last weekend. And this is just from their first drive!

We’re expecting more of the same in Super Bowl LVII, and given an entire quarter for one team to get into the end zone and the other to get a field goal–even with inflated odds favoring the under–we think the over of 9.5 points in the first quarter at -140 is a solid bet.

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