NFL Prop Bets: Most Receiving Yards

By Roy Burton   June 23, 2022 

NFL Prop Bets: Most Receiving Yards

With the 2022 NFL season right around the corner, bettors can focus on wagers beyond just regular NFL odds ahead of regular season games. Looking at player prop bets stands as an increasingly popular way to make NFL bets. These wagers bring added entertainment value as well as other betting avenues. 

NFL player prop bets stand outside of the final scoreboard, focusing instead on a player’s individual performance—be it in a single game or season-long. The PropShop app is the easiest way to bet on your favorite players. This sports betting app provides real-time odds comparison, live bet tracking, player props, picks, scores, and trends.

The players in the running to lead these statistical categories remain integral parts of teams with some of the best NFL Futures odds heading into the season. Here’s a look at the early odds for 2022 NFL the most regular season receiving yards.

NFL Prop Bets: Most Regular Season Receiving Yards 

Player   Team   Best Odds
Cooper Kupp   Los Angeles Rams   +700 (DraftKings)
Justin Jefferson   Minnesota Vikings   +800 (DraftKings)
Ja’Marr Chase   Cincinnati Bengals   +900 (UniBet)
Davante Adams   Las Vegas Raiders   +1100 (Caesars)
Travis Kelce   Kansas City Chiefs   +1100 (UniBet)

NFL Player Props often come down to availability. 20 of the last 22 receiving yards leaders played each of their team’s games that season. Only Antonio Brown (14 games in 2017) and Josh Gordon (14 games in 2013) completed the task in less than a full season. 

Last year’s receiving yards leader, Cooper Kupp, became the fifth different player to lead the NFL in receiving yards in the last five seasons. He came just 17 yards shy of the single-season receiving record of 1,964, which Detroit Lions wideout Calvin Johnson posted 2012.

Odd-On Favorites for Most Regular Season Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase (1) catches a pass in the second quarter of Super Bowl 56 between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., on Sunday, Feb. 13, 2022. © Sam Greene/Cincinnati Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

Only three wideouts head into training camp with better than 10/1 odds to lead the league in receiving yards next season: Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson, and Ja’Marr Chase. 

Kupp enters 2022 coming of a Super Bowl LVI MVP award after leading the league in catches, receiving yards, and touchdowns last season. He remains a slight favorite to win AP Offensive Player of the Year for the second year in a row.  

Kupp remains an integral part of an LA Rams passing attack that finished fifth in the NFL in passing yards last season. He emerged as Matthew Stafford’s favorite and most reliable receiver. The Rams traded away Robert Woods this offseason and replaced him with Allen Robinson II, who’s coming off an injury-plagued 2021 campaign. 

The Vikings’ Justin Jefferson stands either even with or just behind Kupp in the odds race for most regular season receiving yards. The third-year wideout has compiled 3,016 receiving yards through his first two seasons and sees a new, offensive-minded head coach taking over in Minnesota. Incidentally, the new coach, Kevin O’Connell, spent the last two seasons as the offensive coordinator for the LA Rams. 

Jefferson finished 2021 with 27 receptions of 20 yards or more, second-most in the league behind Kupp (30). He’s become a favorite target for Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins, averaging 8.8 targets per game through his first two seasons. 

Cincinnati’s second-year wideout, Ja’Marr Chase, stands as the only other receiver to see better than 10/1 odds for most regular season receiving yards. Most sportsbooks, however, list him at +1100 or longer. Chase established himself as one of the NFL’s best deep threats, finishing one behind the league lead for most catches of 20 yards or more (8). He finished third among receivers in YAC (yards after the catch). 

The worry with backing Chase entering his second season would be competition for targets. Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has options beyond Chase in Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, as well as Joe Mixon out of the backfield and newly signed Hayden Hurst at tight end. 

Second Tier Candidates to Consider

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Davante Adams (17) catches a one-yard touchdown pass while being covered by Cleveland Browns safety Jovante Moffatt (35) quarter of their game Saturday, December 25, 2021 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. © MARK HOFFMAN/MILWAUKEE JOURNAL SENTINEL / USA TODAY NETWORK

The second tier of receiving candidates to consider for most regular season receiving yards include two receivers that have changed teams and a tight end.

Davante Adams went from Green Bay to Las Vegas this offseason, signing a then-record-breaking contract extension with the Raiders. He joins his former Fresno State teammate Derek Carr and looks to build upon his successes with the Packers. Adams averaged 108 catches and 1,327.5 yards over the last four seasons, earning Pro Bowl berths each year. 

Most sportsbooks slot Adams either at +1100 or +1200 for this statistical distinction. The worry backing Adams here isn’t an unfamiliarity with a new quarterback, but going to a team with multiple targets in the passing game. The Raiders have Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller as outlets for Carr beyond Adams. 

Tyreek Hill, meanwhile, went from Kansas City to Miami in a similarly blockbuster trade this offseason. Hill inked a then-record-breaking contract extension of his own with the Dolphins, and immediately got to work with establishing chemistry with his new quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa. 

Hill sees most sportsbooks listing him between +1400 and +2000 odds to lead the league in receiving. One of the fastest players in the NFL, Hill should be a focal point in new Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel’s offense. But backing Hill faces a similar drawback to Adams. Hill will share targets with Jaylen Waddle, Mike Gesicki, and Cedrick Wilson in Miami. 

Hill’s former Chiefs teammate, Travis Kelce, sports the shortest odds among tight ends for this NFL player prop bet. He still has Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback and he remains the focal point of KC’s passing attack. Kelce led all tight ends in YAC last season, finishing seventh-overall. 

No tight end has ever led the NFL in receiving. Kelce finished second in 2020 with 1,416 yards, which fell 119 yards short of Stefon Diggs’ total (1,535). Kellen Winslow came the closest to leading the league in receiving as a tight end when he finished the 1980 season just 50 yards behind the NFL leader. 

Sportsbooks provide Kelce with a wide spread of odds, spanning +1100 (UniBet) to +1800 (Caesars). 

Longshots to Consider for Most Regular Season Receiving Yards

Dec 26, 2021; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) in action during the game between the Washington Football Team and the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Cowboys receiver CeeDee Lamb could be a name to consider for this NFL player props bet because he’s clearly the No. 1 target in Dallas these days. Following the losses of Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson, Lamb could be in for a stellar 2022 season in what will be his third year in the NFL. He finished over 1,000 yards for the first time and finished tied for the sixth-most receptions of 20 yards or more (20). 

Lamb’s odds range from +1300 (UniBet) to +2500 (Caesars). Two other sportsbooks list him with at least 20/1 odds. 

Baltimore tight end Mark Andrews sees his odds to finish with the most regular season receiving yards range between +2000 (DraftKings) and +4000 (Caesars). He should be the top target for Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson next season after finishing sixth in receiving yards last year (1,361). Andrews led all tight ends and finished tied for the sixth-most receptions of 20 yards or more (20) overall. His 158 targets led all tight ends as well, and slotted tied for eighth overall. 

An extreme longshot to consider a flyer with might be Hill’s replacement in Kansas City, JuJu Smith-Schuster. PointsBet provides the longest odds for Smith-Schuster at +10000, while most other sportsbooks list him somewhere between +4000 and +7500. His best season came in 2018, when he finished fifth in the NFL in receiving yards (1,426). 

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