The Orlando Magic are one of the worst teams in the Eastern conference, holding a 3-8 record through 11 games. But, in their last game against the Jazz on Sunday, Orlando won 107-100 as a +11 underdog. The Magic’s other two wins this season? Those came at New York and Minnesota. So, this team is capable of beating anyone in the league, though they rarely do it.
Teams have not been blowing out Orlando. In addition to their recent wins over Utah and Minnesota, they have a 7 point loss to Detroit and a 1 point loss to Toronto. Their largest margin of defeat in their last seven games is 13 points.
The Brooklyn Nets have been very inconsistent this season. They beat the Raptors by 13 on Sunday and then lost by 23 to Chicago the very next day. They beat Washington by 13, then lost to Miami by 14 the next night.
The most recent time these teams played, in March, the Magic beat Brooklyn 121-113 as a +10.5 home underdog. Orlando is the clear play here.
You can get this number anywhere from the Kings -1 to the Spurs -1, depending on where you look. These teams are about equal but the Spurs are very light in the frontcourt, see 6’5” Keldon Johnson playing major minutes at power forward for San Antonio, and they are missing center Jakob Poeltl due to COVID-19 protocols.
While the Sacramento Kings are 5-6 and the Spurs 3-7, both teams have winning records against the spread. Sacramento is 3-1 outright as a favorite this season while the Spurs are 2-2.
The San Antonio Spurs are coming off their worst loss of the season with Poeltl, falling 99-94 at home to the Thunder. Two of San Antonio’s wins this season have come against the Orlando Magic, so they have struggled against the league’s more competitive teams.
Dating back to last season, the Spurs have only won 3 of their last 15 games. The Kings have covered in seven of their last ten games against the Spurs and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games overall. This would be a toss-up with Poeltl playing, but the Spurs are not the same team with their backup big men playing major minutes.
Some trends for you: The Golden State Warriors are on a five game winning streak. Minnesota is on a five game losing streak. The Warriors have also defeated the Timberwolves nine straight times at home. The Warriors are 8-1 outright as a favorite this season while the Wolves are 1-3 outright as an underdog. Golden State is 6-3-1 ATS while Minnesota is 2-7 ATS, one of the worst marks in the league.
None of the three games these teams played last season were close, with the Warriors winning the first two matchups by 22 points and then 12, before Minnesota won at home by 12 points.
During their current five game winning streak, no team has come within fewer than 13 points against the Warriors. The Timberwolves have lost four straight games by 7 points or more. Everything is pointing in Golden State, and that’s the pick here.
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