The Bucks are playing great lately, and the Lakers are … not? This spread is too low, even considering the game is at the Crypto.com Arena.
Milwaukee just played there on Sunday and blew the Clippers out by 24. The team has won its last four games by an average of nearly 21 per game. Below average teams just aren’t staying in the gym with the Bucks, and the Lakers are a below average team. They have three straight covers, but that’s a bit deceiving. Their win against the Knicks over the weekend was only a cover because it went to overtime. Their other two recent covers were an outright loss to the Clippers and a squeaker over a bad Portland team at home.
The Lakers don’t have the talent to keep up with Giannis and his crew. The Bucks should take this one handily.
Yeah, the Blazers are bad, but they still have several above average NBA talents, including CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic. Unless they’re traded before this game against Orlando tips off – entirely possible – they should be able to keep the Magic in check.
Orlando lost its last two games by a combined 53 points. Those were both at home. Now, they have to travel across the country where Portland has consistently played its best ball. It’s only 13-16 ATS in the Moda Center, but that’s significantly better than its road ATS mark. They also already beat Orlando once this season – by ten on the road. The Magic need to be getting more than this to be considered seriously as an underdog worth betting. Back the Blazers instead.
Another short favorite in the Western Conference. Minnesota is much better than Sacramento – home court advantage be damned.
The last time they played, Minnesota won by ten at home as 2.5-point favorites. This Minnesota team is better than that one. Nothing dramatic has changed in its roster construction, but their young players have gotten more reps and more wins behind them since November. They’ve won (and covered) their last four games by double digits. They’re 14-13 ATS on the road this season.
Sacramento has only won two of its last ten games – against a busted Brooklyn team and the Thunder. Both of those games were covers at home, but prior to that, they lost and failed to cover their last two home games against the worst team in the West (Houston) and one of the worst in the East (Detroit). Minnesota is more than a basket better than this squad, and that’s the team worth backing tonight.