Game Analysis

Tampa Bay comes into this game with one of the league’s hottest offenses and teams in general, winning four out of their last five games and scoring 28 points or more in each victory. Detroit, on the other hand, is mired in a 1-9 slump, including an 0-5 record without starting quarterback Matthew Stafford. Defensively, the Lions come into the game allowing 395 yards to opposing offenses, which is in the bottom 5 in the NFL. Tampa Bay’s yardage total is about 40 yards lower, but they are giving up more points than Detroit (25.8 to 29.3), which can be attributed to Jameis Winston’s league-leading 23 interceptions – a total that’s seven higher than Baker Mayfield’s 16 picks. But despite all the picks, Winston is second in the league in passing yards (316 per game) and tied for second with 26 touchdown passes. Detroit is averaging 22.1 points per game, but that number is skewed towards when Stafford was playing; without him, Detroit has only scored over 20 points one time. Besides the losing streak, Detroit has also been poor at covering spreads recently, going 1-6-1 against the spread in their last eight. Tampa Bay is only 4-8-1 ATS this season, but they are 2-0-1 ATS in their last three games.

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