Game Analysis

New England comes into this game losers of two straight, with a sputtering offense that has only managed to score over 20 points twice in their last five games. Luckily for the Patriots, they are visiting 1-12 Cincinnati with a chance to get back on track. While the Bengals did beat the Jets in their last home game, they have not scored over 23 points in a game all season – they are averaging an AFC-low 15.2 points per game, while the Patriots’ defense – while not as dominant as they were during the first half of the season – is still allowing a league-best 12.9 points per game. Cincinnati, meanwhile, is allowing 400 yards per game on defense, which is the worst total in the AFC. Some teams should be shied away from when they are a double-digit favorite, but not New England. The Pats are 16-4 against the spread in their last 20 games where they go in favored by 10 or more. As for the Bengals, despite the win over the Jets, they are 2-10 ATS in their last dozen home games.

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