Game Analysis

While New Orleans is coming off a shocking 26-9 defeat at home to lowly Atlanta, it would be hard to believe that the high-powered Saints offense will be held without a touchdown again. That’s because Tampa Bay’s defense is giving up a league-high 31.0 points per game. The Bucs are better than seven teams when it comes to yards allowed, but the defense has been consistently put in tough spots thanks to quarterback Jameis Winston’s NFL-leading 14 interceptions. Despite all the picks, Winston is throwing the ball early and often for Tampa Bay. His 307 passing yards per game is fourth in the NFL and his 17 touchdowns rank in the top 10. He’s been helped by Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, who rank second and fourth respectively in receiving yards this season. Drew Brees has his fair share of weapons too, as Michael Thomas leads the NFL in receiving yards with 1,027 in nine games. These two teams met in Week 5, when Teddy Bridgewater piloted to the Saints to a 31-24 victory. Tampa Bay is an NFL-worst 2-7 against the spread this season, but they’ve done well as a larger underdog. The Bucs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games when getting four or more points. After last week’s loss, the Saints are still 6-3 ATS this year, which is one of the best marks in the league.

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